Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone

In this paper an assessment of the hazard, the vulnerability and the risk associated with shallow landslides in a watershed of the Valle de Aburra is carried out. The TRIGRS model with a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the probability of failure in the watershed using water table depth as the tri...

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Autores:
Marín, Roberto J.
Guzmán-Martínez, Juan Carlos
Martínez Carvajal, Hernán Eduardo
García-Aristizábal, Edwin F.
Cadavid-Arango, Juan Diego
Agudelo-Vallejo, Paulina
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2018
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/13195
Acceso en línea:
http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13195
Palabra clave:
Landslide
Risk
Razard
Vulnerability
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
Deslizamientos
Riesgo
Amenaza
Vulnerabilidad
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
Rights
License
Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
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oai_identifier_str oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/13195
network_acronym_str REPOEAFIT2
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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Evaluación del riesgo de deslizamientos superficiales para proyectos de infraestructura: caso de análisis en vereda El Cabuyal
title Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
spellingShingle Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
Landslide
Risk
Razard
Vulnerability
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
Deslizamientos
Riesgo
Amenaza
Vulnerabilidad
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
title_short Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
title_full Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
title_fullStr Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
title_full_unstemmed Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
title_sort Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal Zone
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Marín, Roberto J.
Guzmán-Martínez, Juan Carlos
Martínez Carvajal, Hernán Eduardo
García-Aristizábal, Edwin F.
Cadavid-Arango, Juan Diego
Agudelo-Vallejo, Paulina
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Marín, Roberto J.
Guzmán-Martínez, Juan Carlos
Martínez Carvajal, Hernán Eduardo
García-Aristizábal, Edwin F.
Cadavid-Arango, Juan Diego
Agudelo-Vallejo, Paulina
dc.contributor.affiliation.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad de Antioquia
Universidad de Brasilia
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
dc.subject.keyword.eng.fl_str_mv Landslide
Risk
Razard
Vulnerability
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
topic Landslide
Risk
Razard
Vulnerability
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
Deslizamientos
Riesgo
Amenaza
Vulnerabilidad
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Deslizamientos
Riesgo
Amenaza
Vulnerabilidad
TRIGRS
Monte Carlo
description In this paper an assessment of the hazard, the vulnerability and the risk associated with shallow landslides in a watershed of the Valle de Aburra is carried out. The TRIGRS model with a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the probability of failure in the watershed using water table depth as the trigger factor is implemented, which allows the assessment of the hazard along with its annual probability of occurrence. Additionally, a quantitative model for physical vulnerability of structures which takes into account landslide intensity and resistance of exposed elements is used. The annual risk is estimated for a house of the study site as the product of the hazard and the damage costs due to the occurrence of the catastrophic event, which considers vulnerability. The methodology used focuses on the shallow landslide occurred on October 26, 2016 on a slope within the study site, which affected the house that is being analyzed.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2018-11-16T16:29:00Z
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2018-06-14
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2018-11-16T16:29:00Z
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2018-06-14
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
article
publishedVersion
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dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo
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dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 2256-4314
1794-9165
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13195
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.17230/ingciencia.13.27.7
identifier_str_mv 2256-4314
1794-9165
10.17230/ingciencia.13.27.7
url http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/13195
dc.language.iso.none.fl_str_mv spa
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dc.relation.isversionof.none.fl_str_mv http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897
dc.rights.eng.fl_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
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rights_invalid_str_mv Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
Acceso abierto
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dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Universidad EAFIT
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv instname:Universidad EAFIT
reponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad EAFIT
dc.source.eng.fl_str_mv Ingeniería y Ciencia; Vol 14 No 27 (2018); 153-177
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv Ingeniería y Ciencia; Vol 14 No 27 (2018); 153-177
instname_str Universidad EAFIT
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spelling 2018-06-142018-11-16T16:29:00Z2018-06-142018-11-16T16:29:00Z2256-43141794-9165http://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897http://hdl.handle.net/10784/1319510.17230/ingciencia.13.27.7In this paper an assessment of the hazard, the vulnerability and the risk associated with shallow landslides in a watershed of the Valle de Aburra is carried out. The TRIGRS model with a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the probability of failure in the watershed using water table depth as the trigger factor is implemented, which allows the assessment of the hazard along with its annual probability of occurrence. Additionally, a quantitative model for physical vulnerability of structures which takes into account landslide intensity and resistance of exposed elements is used. The annual risk is estimated for a house of the study site as the product of the hazard and the damage costs due to the occurrence of the catastrophic event, which considers vulnerability. The methodology used focuses on the shallow landslide occurred on October 26, 2016 on a slope within the study site, which affected the house that is being analyzed.Este artículo presenta un análisis y evaluación cuantitativa de la amenaza, la vulnerabilidad y el riesgo asociados a deslizamientos superficiales en una subcuenca del Valle de Aburrá (Colombia). Se integra el modelo TRIGRS mediante una simulación de Montecarlo para la estimación de la probabilidad de falla en la subcuenca empleando una altura del nivel freático como factor desencadenante, que junto con su probabilidad de ocurrencia anual permiten la evaluación de la amenaza. Se emplea un modelo que cuantifica la vulnerabilidad física de estructuras basándose en la intensidad del deslizamiento y la resistencia del elemento expuesto. El riesgo anual se estima para una vivienda del sitio de estudio como el producto de la amenaza y el valor de la pérdida dado el evento catastrófico, considerando la vulnerabilidad. La metodología empleada se enfoca en el deslizamiento ocurrido el 26 de octubre de 2016 en un talud dentro del sitio de estudio que afectó la vivienda que es objeto de análisis.application/pdfspaUniversidad EAFIThttp://publicaciones.eafit.edu.co/index.php/ingciencia/article/view/4897Copyright (c) 2018 Roberto J. Marín, Juan Carlos Guzmán-Martínez, Hernán Eduardo Martínez Carvajal, Edwin F. García-Aristizábal, Juan Diego Cadavid-Arango, Paulina Agudelo-VallejoAttribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Acceso abiertohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2instname:Universidad EAFITreponame:Repositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITIngeniería y Ciencia; Vol 14 No 27 (2018); 153-177Ingeniería y Ciencia; Vol 14 No 27 (2018); 153-177Risk Assessment of Shallow Landslides for Infrastructure Projects: Analysis of the Case of a Landslide in the El Cabuyal ZoneEvaluación del riesgo de deslizamientos superficiales para proyectos de infraestructura: caso de análisis en vereda El Cabuyalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionarticlepublishedVersionArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1LandslideRiskRazardVulnerabilityTRIGRSMonte CarloDeslizamientosRiesgoAmenazaVulnerabilidadTRIGRSMonte CarloMarín, Roberto J.Guzmán-Martínez, Juan CarlosMartínez Carvajal, Hernán EduardoGarcía-Aristizábal, Edwin F.Cadavid-Arango, Juan DiegoAgudelo-Vallejo, PaulinaUniversidad de AntioquiaUniversidad de BrasiliaUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaIngeniería y Ciencia1427153177ing.ciencTHUMBNAILminaitura-ig_Mesa de trabajo 1.jpgminaitura-ig_Mesa de trabajo 1.jpgimage/jpeg265796https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/55ca2e3b-5f43-4b0b-90d7-1b86db097432/downloadda9b21a5c7e00c7f1127cef8e97035e0MD51ORIGINALdocument (4).pdfdocument (4).pdfTexto completo PDFapplication/pdf888836https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/fe5a78d0-8b38-4933-88d2-e6178492c78c/download3265d99d57e00a3f0150431c7c099318MD52articulo.htmlarticulo.htmlTexto completo HTMLtext/html374https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/b9037466-8447-4402-8f6d-d745cea68469/download6c3e7bf8df2ba73775b69a0ee840ddc6MD5310784/13195oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/131952020-03-01 12:52:15.065http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0Copyright (c) 2018 Roberto J. Marín, Juan Carlos Guzmán-Martínez, Hernán Eduardo Martínez Carvajal, Edwin F. García-Aristizábal, Juan Diego Cadavid-Arango, Paulina Agudelo-Vallejoopen.accesshttps://repository.eafit.edu.coRepositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITrepositorio@eafit.edu.co