Simulación financiera aplicada a la valoración del riesgo de crédito con el modelo de opciones

This paper presents financial simulation as the best alternative for valuating credit risk with the Merton Model on a real option. We propose this in contrast to the Black and Scholes model introduced by Hull, Nelken and White in 2004 for the same case study. To demonstrate this, we begin by reviewi...

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Autores:
Gabriel Ignacio Torres Avendaño
Juan P. Durán Ortiz
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2019
Institución:
Universidad EAFIT
Repositorio:
Repositorio EAFIT
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/14066
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/14066
Palabra clave:
Credit risk
Merton model
Financial simulation
Real options.
Riesgo
simulación
Merton
opciones
crédito
Rights
License
Copyright © 2006 Gabriel Ignacio Torres Avendaño, Juan P. Durán Ortiz
Description
Summary:This paper presents financial simulation as the best alternative for valuating credit risk with the Merton Model on a real option. We propose this in contrast to the Black and Scholes model introduced by Hull, Nelken and White in 2004 for the same case study. To demonstrate this, we begin by reviewing the basic concepts of a financial option. Then we present the Black-Scholes model for the valuation of European options with special emphasis on the assumptions and the limitations that this possibility implies. We introduce the analogy between real options and financial options that allows the measurement of credit risk on investment opportunities. We explain the Merton model, and finally, we propose financial simulation as a general and powerful methodology to quantify credit risk in the Merton model, including an application on an investment project with “Crystal Ball”.