An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020
I use data on cumulative tests, positive tests, and deaths for the coronavirus in South Korea and the U.S. lower-48 states during April 2020 to estimate the extent of infection and the unidentified share of the infected population in each state and in the U.S. as a whole on April 21, 2020. I find th...
- Autores:
-
Breton, Theodore
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2020
- Institución:
- Universidad EAFIT
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio EAFIT
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/16076
- Acceso en línea:
- http://hdl.handle.net/10784/16076
- Palabra clave:
- Coronavirus
U.S
states
rate of infection
asymptomatic share
community spread
- Rights
- License
- Acceso abierto
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Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees2020-04-28T00:24:50Z2020-04-232020-04-28T00:24:50Zhttp://hdl.handle.net/10784/16076I12I18I use data on cumulative tests, positive tests, and deaths for the coronavirus in South Korea and the U.S. lower-48 states during April 2020 to estimate the extent of infection and the unidentified share of the infected population in each state and in the U.S. as a whole on April 21, 2020. I find that 3.8 million people, or 1.2% of the population, have been infected in the U.S., with rates of infection that range from 0.1% in more rural states to 7.0% in New York state. I estimate that only 20% of all U.S. cases have been identified through testing. The unidentified share of total cases ranges from 61% to 83% across the states. I estimate that 38% of all cases are asymptomatic, which is consistent with the high shares of unidentified cases.La integración económica se encuentra reflejada en los crecientes intercambios de bienes, de capital financiero e inversión extranjera directa, hechos que han ocasionado una mayor sincronización de los ciclos económicos a nivel mundial. El artículo se introduce en el estudio de la sincronicidad económica en América Latina siguiendo la literatura existente con el objeto de acoplar nueva evidencia. El marco de referencia es el Área de Libre Comercio de las Américas (ALCA) debido a su relevancia histórica y sus posibilidades a partir de 2012. Se concluye que aunque se observaron algunas relaciones importantes, no se detecta la existencia de un ciclo común que invite a pensar en la existencia de sincronización plena.engUniversidad EAFITEscuela de Economía y FinanzasAn Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020workingPaperinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaperDocumento de trabajo de investigacióndrafthttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bccehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042Acceso abiertohttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2CoronavirusU.Sstatesrate of infectionasymptomatic sharecommunity spreadBreton, TheodoreLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82556https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/0d26f4d5-676a-45a9-8609-8f7b8c00234d/download76025f86b095439b7ac65b367055d40cMD51ORIGINALWP-2020-15-Theodore Breton.pdfWP-2020-15-Theodore Breton.pdfapplication/pdf1169553https://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstreams/c5af59a8-f4bc-45c8-8b30-5073f0440dab/downloadb98997f5eaace6eca5cf64501f838758MD5210784/16076oai:repository.eafit.edu.co:10784/160762024-03-05 14:06:32.508open.accesshttps://repository.eafit.edu.coRepositorio Institucional Universidad EAFITrepositorio@eafit.edu.co |
| dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| title |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| spellingShingle |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 Coronavirus U.S states rate of infection asymptomatic share community spread |
| title_short |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| title_full |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| title_fullStr |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| title_full_unstemmed |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| title_sort |
An Estimate of Unidentified and Total U.S. Coronavirus Cases by State on April 21, 2020 |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Breton, Theodore |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Breton, Theodore |
| dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv |
Coronavirus U.S states rate of infection asymptomatic share community spread |
| topic |
Coronavirus U.S states rate of infection asymptomatic share community spread |
| description |
I use data on cumulative tests, positive tests, and deaths for the coronavirus in South Korea and the U.S. lower-48 states during April 2020 to estimate the extent of infection and the unidentified share of the infected population in each state and in the U.S. as a whole on April 21, 2020. I find that 3.8 million people, or 1.2% of the population, have been infected in the U.S., with rates of infection that range from 0.1% in more rural states to 7.0% in New York state. I estimate that only 20% of all U.S. cases have been identified through testing. The unidentified share of total cases ranges from 61% to 83% across the states. I estimate that 38% of all cases are asymptomatic, which is consistent with the high shares of unidentified cases. |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-04-28T00:24:50Z |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-04-23 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-04-28T00:24:50Z |
| dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv |
workingPaper info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |
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http://purl.org/coar/version/c_b1a7d7d4d402bcce |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
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Documento de trabajo de investigación |
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draft |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10784/16076 |
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I12 I18 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10784/16076 |
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I12 I18 |
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eng |
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eng |
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http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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Acceso abierto |
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Acceso abierto http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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Medellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degrees |
| dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Universidad EAFIT |
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Escuela de Economía y Finanzas |
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Universidad EAFIT |
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