Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach
Blackberry production in Colombia contributes to the nation´s gross domestic profit, employment and farmers’ social well-being. It is considered of great economic importance as blackberry fruits are used as raw material for the agroindustry. In this manner, production instability affects farmers’ ec...
- Autores:
-
Cancino, Susan
Cancino Escalante, Giovanni Orlando
Cancino, Daniel
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of journal
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Corporación Universidad de la Costa
- Repositorio:
- REDICUC - Repositorio CUC
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/9780
- Acceso en línea:
- https://hdl.handle.net/11323/9780
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
- Palabra clave:
- Predictive capacity
Univariate analysis
Production
Data modeling
- Rights
- openAccess
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
| id |
RCUC2_efbf05af7b34ddded269a51e44850320 |
|---|---|
| oai_identifier_str |
oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/9780 |
| network_acronym_str |
RCUC2 |
| network_name_str |
REDICUC - Repositorio CUC |
| repository_id_str |
|
| dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| dc.title.translated.none.fl_str_mv |
Un modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia |
| title |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| spellingShingle |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach Predictive capacity Univariate analysis Production Data modeling |
| title_short |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| title_full |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| title_fullStr |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| title_sort |
Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
Cancino, Susan Cancino Escalante, Giovanni Orlando Cancino, Daniel |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
Cancino, Susan Cancino Escalante, Giovanni Orlando Cancino, Daniel |
| dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv |
Predictive capacity Univariate analysis Production |
| topic |
Predictive capacity Univariate analysis Production Data modeling |
| dc.subject.proposal.none.fl_str_mv |
Data modeling |
| description |
Blackberry production in Colombia contributes to the nation´s gross domestic profit, employment and farmers’ social well-being. It is considered of great economic importance as blackberry fruits are used as raw material for the agroindustry. In this manner, production instability affects farmers’ economic profitability; therefore, forecasting plays an important role in monitoring production as well as in farmers´ planting decision and resource allocation. Hence, the purpose of the study was to model and forecast blackberry production in Colombia using a Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach for the period 1992-2023. A quantitative, nonexperimental, correlational and descriptive research design was selected. The appropriateness of the model and its predictive capacity was assessed by verifying the different goodness-of-fit criteria. Results showed that the ARIMA (1,1,0) was the most suitable model as it captured the behavior of the actual time series. Based on the forecasted values it is expected a 5.47% increase in blackberry production for the period 2021-2023 which will consequently improve farmers´ income and thus contribute to the reduction in poverty |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-22 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-01-18T17:00:00Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-01-18T17:00:00Z |
| dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo de revista |
| dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1 |
| dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
| dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv |
Text |
| dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
| dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ART |
| dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
| dc.type.coarversion.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
| format |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
| status_str |
publishedVersion |
| dc.identifier.citation.spa.fl_str_mv |
Cancino, S. E., Cancino-Escalante, G. E. & CancinoRicketts, D. F. (2023). Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach. Económicas CUC, 44(1), 69–82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17981/ econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.4 |
| dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv |
0120-3932 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/11323/9780 |
| dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.17981/econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.4 |
| dc.identifier.eissn.spa.fl_str_mv |
2382-3860 |
| dc.identifier.instname.spa.fl_str_mv |
Corporación Universidad de la Costa |
| dc.identifier.reponame.spa.fl_str_mv |
REDICUC - Repositorio CUC |
| dc.identifier.repourl.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/ |
| identifier_str_mv |
Cancino, S. E., Cancino-Escalante, G. E. & CancinoRicketts, D. F. (2023). Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach. Económicas CUC, 44(1), 69–82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17981/ econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.4 0120-3932 10.17981/econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.4 2382-3860 Corporación Universidad de la Costa REDICUC - Repositorio CUC |
| url |
https://hdl.handle.net/11323/9780 https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/ |
| dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
| language |
eng |
| dc.relation.ispartofjournal.spa.fl_str_mv |
Económicas CUC |
| dc.relation.references.spa.fl_str_mv |
Afzal, M., Rehman, H. U. & Butt, A. R. (2002). Forecasting: a dilemma of modules (A Comparison of Theory Based and Theory Free Approaches). Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 40(1), 1–18. Available: https://www.jstor.org/stable/25825233 Agronet. (s.f.). Blackberry statistical data [Database]. Available: http://www.agronet.gov.co/estadistica/Paginas/home.aspx Akın, M., Eyduran, S., Çelik, Ş., Aliyev, P., Ayko, S. & Eyduran, E. (2021). Modeling and forecasting cherry production in Turkey. The Journal of Animal and Plant Science, 31(3), 773–781. https://doi.org/10.36899/JAPS.2021.3.0267 Arguello, R. & Valderrama-González, D. (2015). Sectoral and poverty impacts of agricultural policy adjustments in Colombia. Agricultural Economics, 46(2), 259–280. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12155 Burhan, A. & Khalid, M. (2006). Forecasting Kinnow production in Pakistan: An econometric analysis. International Journal of Agriculture & Biology, 8(4), 455– 458. Available from https://www.fspublishers.org/published_papers/6916_..pdf Brandt, J. & Bessler, D. (1984). Forecasting with Vector Autoregressions versus a Univariate ARIMA Process: An empirical example with U.S. Hog Prices. North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics, 6(2), 29–36. https://doi. org/10.2307/1349248 Brooks, C. (2019). Introductory econometrics for finance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108524872 Cancino, S., Cancino-Escalante, G. y Cancino-Ricketts, D. (2020). Modelo econométrico para el cultivo de mora de castilla (Rubus glaucus) en los municipios de Pamplona y Chitagá, Norte de Santander, Colombia. Aibi Revista de Investigación, Administración e Ingeniería, 8(1), 37–43. https://doi. org/10.15649/2346030X.752 Cancino, S., Cancino, G. y Cancino, D. (2021). Análisis de regresión de los factores que afectan la rentabilidad económica de la producción de curuba. Dictamen Libre, (29), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.18041/2619-4244/dl.29.7861 Cárdenas M, Echavarría J, Hernández G, Maiguashca A, Meisel A, Ocampo, J. y Zárate, J. (2018). Coyuntura del sector agropecuario colombiano. [Informe de la Junta Directiva al Congreso de la República]. Bogotá, D.C.: Banco de la República. Disponible en https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/recuadro-2-coyuntura-delsector-agropecuario-colombiano Chen, C.-K. (2008). An integrated enrollment forecast model. AIR IR Applications, 15, 1–18. Available: https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED504328 Dickey, D. & Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427–431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348 E-views (version 9.0). Econometric Views. [Software]. London: IHS. Available: www. eviews.com Franco G. y Giraldo, M. (1998). El cultivo de la mora. Mosquera: Corporación Colombiana de Investigación Agropecuaria-CORPOICA. Disponible en http://bibliotecadigital.agronet.gov.co/handle/11348/4039 FAO. (s.f.). FAOSTAT. Crops and livestock products. [Database]. Available: https:// www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL Gajbihe, S., Wankhade, R. & Mahalle, S. (2010). Forecasting chickpea production in India using ARIMA model. International Journal of Commerce and Business Management, 3(2), 212–215. Available from http://researchjournal.co.in/upload/ assignments/3_212-215.pdf Gujarati, D. y Porter, D. (2010). Econometría. México D.F.: McGraw Hill. Hamjah, M. A. (2014). Forecasting Major Fruit Crops Productions in Bangladesh using Box-Jenkins ARIMA Model. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(7), 96–107. Available from https://core.ac.uk/download/ pdf/234646336.pdf Henley D. (2012). The agrarian roots of industrial growth: rural development in South-East Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review, 30(51), 25–47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7679.2012.00564.x Iqbal, M. A. (2020). Application of regression techniques with their advantages and disadvantages. Elektor Magazine, 4(1), 11–17. Available: https://www.elektormagazine.com/magazine-archive/2020 Judge, G., Hill, R., Griffiths W., Lutkepohl, H. & Lee, T. (1991). An introduction to the theory and practice of econometrics. [2 ed.]. New York: Wiley Khan, S. & Khan, U. (2020). ARIMA Models Using Economic Variables of Bangladesh. Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 10(2), 33–47. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajpas/2020/ v10i230243 Khan, D., Ullah, A., Bibi, Z., Ullah, I., Zulfiqar, M. & Khan, Z. (2020). Forecasting area and production of guava in Pakistan: An econometric analysis. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 36(1), 272–281. http://dx.doi.org/10.17582/journal. sja/2020/36.1.272.281 Majid, R. & Mir, S. (2018). Advances in Statistical Forecasting Methods: An Overview. Economic Affairs, 63(4), 815–831. https://doi.org/10.30954/0424-2513.4.2018.5 Mehmood, S. & Ahmad, Z. (2013). Time series model to forecast area of mangoes from Pakistan: An application of univariate ARIMA model. Academy of Contemporary Research, 2(1), 10–15. Meyler, A., Kenny, G. & Quinn, T. (1998). Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models [Technical Paper 3/RT/98]. Dublín: Central Bank of Ireland. Available: https://www.centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/research-technical-papers/3rt98---forecasting-irish-inflation-using-arima-models-(kenny-meyler-and-quinn).pdf Phillips, P. & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometricka, 75(2), 335–346. https://doi.org/10.2307/2336182 República de Colombia. MinAgricultura. (2021). Cadena productiva de la mora Dirección de Cadenas Agrícolas y Forestales. Marzo de 2021. Bogotá, D.C.: Minagricultura. Recuperado de https://sioc.minagricultura.gov.co/Mora/Documentos/2021-03-31%20Cifras%20Sectoriales.pdf Restrepo, M., Luna-Ramirez, J. & Castaño-Quintero, V. (2019). Evaluation of the shelf-life of blackberry pulp fortified with physiologically active compounds. Respuestas, 24(2), 16–26. Available: https://revistas.ufps.edu.co/index.php/respuestas/article/download/1827/2203?inline=1 Sánchez-López, E., Barreras-Serrano, A., Pérez-Linares, C., Figueroa-Saavedra, F. & Olivas-Valdez, J. (2013). Using an ARIMA model to forecast bovine milk production in Baja California, México. Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems, 16(3), 315–324. Available: https://www.revista.ccba.uady.mx/ojs/index. php/TSA/article/view/1290 Ullah, A., Khan, D. & Zheng, S. (2018). Forecasting of peach area and production wise econometric analysis. The Journal of Animal & Plant Sciences, 28(4), 1121–1127. Available: http://www.thejaps.org.pk/docs/v-28-04/23.pdf |
| dc.relation.citationendpage.spa.fl_str_mv |
82 |
| dc.relation.citationstartpage.spa.fl_str_mv |
69 |
| dc.relation.citationissue.spa.fl_str_mv |
1 |
| dc.relation.citationvolume.spa.fl_str_mv |
44 |
| dc.rights.license.spa.fl_str_mv |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) |
| dc.rights.uri.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ |
| dc.rights.accessrights.spa.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| dc.rights.coar.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| rights_invalid_str_mv |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
| dc.format.extent.spa.fl_str_mv |
14 páginas |
| dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
| dc.coverage.country.none.fl_str_mv |
Colombia |
| dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Corporación Universidad de la Costa |
| dc.publisher.place.spa.fl_str_mv |
Colombia |
| dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://revistascientificas.cuc.edu.co/economicascuc/article/view/4203 |
| institution |
Corporación Universidad de la Costa |
| bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/1/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdf https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/2/license.txt https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/3/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdf.txt https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/4/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdf.jpg |
| bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
fd2bcaec7c2d2a1ca7cbac3ce5ac63f8 2f9959eaf5b71fae44bbf9ec84150c7a 061f860f8e147743937e78a39b0e4b50 39a427e889996c6aeb9ca03050ae5140 |
| bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 |
| repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositorio Universidad de La Costa |
| repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
bdigital@metabiblioteca.com |
| _version_ |
1808400125543841792 |
| spelling |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)Derechos de autor 2023 Susan Elsa Cancino, Giovanni Orlando Cancino Escalante, Daniel Francisco Cancino Rickettshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Cancino, Susan1c8dd08609c84b45ed49882de226c62c600Cancino Escalante, Giovanni Orlandoa98ff1cf7da120f9662a4af5725ab8cb600Cancino, Daniel 44aa1ae7a3924a5940d9bb204cdf84766002023-01-18T17:00:00Z2023-01-18T17:00:00Z2022-08-22Cancino, S. E., Cancino-Escalante, G. E. & CancinoRicketts, D. F. (2023). Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approach. Económicas CUC, 44(1), 69–82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17981/ econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.40120-3932https://hdl.handle.net/11323/978010.17981/econcuc.44.1.2023.Econ.42382-3860Corporación Universidad de la CostaREDICUC - Repositorio CUChttps://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/Blackberry production in Colombia contributes to the nation´s gross domestic profit, employment and farmers’ social well-being. It is considered of great economic importance as blackberry fruits are used as raw material for the agroindustry. In this manner, production instability affects farmers’ economic profitability; therefore, forecasting plays an important role in monitoring production as well as in farmers´ planting decision and resource allocation. Hence, the purpose of the study was to model and forecast blackberry production in Colombia using a Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach for the period 1992-2023. A quantitative, nonexperimental, correlational and descriptive research design was selected. The appropriateness of the model and its predictive capacity was assessed by verifying the different goodness-of-fit criteria. Results showed that the ARIMA (1,1,0) was the most suitable model as it captured the behavior of the actual time series. Based on the forecasted values it is expected a 5.47% increase in blackberry production for the period 2021-2023 which will consequently improve farmers´ income and thus contribute to the reduction in povertyLa producción de mora de castilla en Colombia contribuye al producto interno bruto, al empleo y al bienestar social de los agricultores del país. Es considerado de gran importancia económica una vez que los frutos de la mora son utilizados como materia prima para la agroindustria. De esta manera, la inestabilidad de la producción afecta la rentabilidad económica de los agricultores; por lo tanto, el pronóstico de la producción de mora posee un importante papel en la asignación de recursos y la toma de decisiones de los agricultores. Por lo tanto, el propósito del estudio fue modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora en Colombia utilizando un enfoque ARIMA de Box-Jenkins para el período 1992-2023. Se seleccionó una investigación tipo cuantitativa, no experimental, correlacional y descriptiva. Se evaluó la adecuación del modelo y su capacidad predictiva mediante la verificación de los diferentes criterios de bondad de ajuste. Los resultados mostraron que ARIMA (1,1,0) fue el modelo más adecuado una vez que capturó el comportamiento de la serie temporal actual. Con base en los valores pronosticados se espera un aumento de 5,47% en la producción de mora para el período 2021-2023 lo que mejorará los ingresos de los agricultores y contribuirá, así a la reducción de la pobreza en el campo.14 páginasapplication/pdfengCorporación Universidad de la CostaColombiahttps://revistascientificas.cuc.edu.co/economicascuc/article/view/4203Modeling and forecasting blackberry production in Colombia using a Box Jenkins ARIMA approachUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en ColombiaArtículo de revistahttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Textinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARTinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85ColombiaEconómicas CUCAfzal, M., Rehman, H. U. & Butt, A. R. (2002). Forecasting: a dilemma of modules (A Comparison of Theory Based and Theory Free Approaches). Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 40(1), 1–18. Available: https://www.jstor.org/stable/25825233Agronet. (s.f.). Blackberry statistical data [Database]. Available: http://www.agronet.gov.co/estadistica/Paginas/home.aspxAkın, M., Eyduran, S., Çelik, Ş., Aliyev, P., Ayko, S. & Eyduran, E. (2021). Modeling and forecasting cherry production in Turkey. The Journal of Animal and Plant Science, 31(3), 773–781. https://doi.org/10.36899/JAPS.2021.3.0267Arguello, R. & Valderrama-González, D. (2015). Sectoral and poverty impacts of agricultural policy adjustments in Colombia. Agricultural Economics, 46(2), 259–280. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12155Burhan, A. & Khalid, M. (2006). Forecasting Kinnow production in Pakistan: An econometric analysis. International Journal of Agriculture & Biology, 8(4), 455– 458. Available from https://www.fspublishers.org/published_papers/6916_..pdfBrandt, J. & Bessler, D. (1984). Forecasting with Vector Autoregressions versus a Univariate ARIMA Process: An empirical example with U.S. Hog Prices. North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics, 6(2), 29–36. https://doi. org/10.2307/1349248Brooks, C. (2019). Introductory econometrics for finance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108524872Cancino, S., Cancino-Escalante, G. y Cancino-Ricketts, D. (2020). Modelo econométrico para el cultivo de mora de castilla (Rubus glaucus) en los municipios de Pamplona y Chitagá, Norte de Santander, Colombia. Aibi Revista de Investigación, Administración e Ingeniería, 8(1), 37–43. https://doi. org/10.15649/2346030X.752Cancino, S., Cancino, G. y Cancino, D. (2021). Análisis de regresión de los factores que afectan la rentabilidad económica de la producción de curuba. Dictamen Libre, (29), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.18041/2619-4244/dl.29.7861Cárdenas M, Echavarría J, Hernández G, Maiguashca A, Meisel A, Ocampo, J. y Zárate, J. (2018). Coyuntura del sector agropecuario colombiano. [Informe de la Junta Directiva al Congreso de la República]. Bogotá, D.C.: Banco de la República. Disponible en https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/recuadro-2-coyuntura-delsector-agropecuario-colombianoChen, C.-K. (2008). An integrated enrollment forecast model. AIR IR Applications, 15, 1–18. Available: https://eric.ed.gov/?id=ED504328Dickey, D. & Fuller, W. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427–431. https://doi.org/10.2307/2286348E-views (version 9.0). Econometric Views. [Software]. London: IHS. Available: www. eviews.comFranco G. y Giraldo, M. (1998). El cultivo de la mora. Mosquera: Corporación Colombiana de Investigación Agropecuaria-CORPOICA. Disponible en http://bibliotecadigital.agronet.gov.co/handle/11348/4039FAO. (s.f.). FAOSTAT. Crops and livestock products. [Database]. Available: https:// www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCLGajbihe, S., Wankhade, R. & Mahalle, S. (2010). Forecasting chickpea production in India using ARIMA model. International Journal of Commerce and Business Management, 3(2), 212–215. Available from http://researchjournal.co.in/upload/ assignments/3_212-215.pdfGujarati, D. y Porter, D. (2010). Econometría. México D.F.: McGraw Hill.Hamjah, M. A. (2014). Forecasting Major Fruit Crops Productions in Bangladesh using Box-Jenkins ARIMA Model. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(7), 96–107. Available from https://core.ac.uk/download/ pdf/234646336.pdfHenley D. (2012). The agrarian roots of industrial growth: rural development in South-East Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review, 30(51), 25–47. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7679.2012.00564.xIqbal, M. A. (2020). Application of regression techniques with their advantages and disadvantages. Elektor Magazine, 4(1), 11–17. Available: https://www.elektormagazine.com/magazine-archive/2020Judge, G., Hill, R., Griffiths W., Lutkepohl, H. & Lee, T. (1991). An introduction to the theory and practice of econometrics. [2 ed.]. New York: WileyKhan, S. & Khan, U. (2020). ARIMA Models Using Economic Variables of Bangladesh. Asian Journal of Probability and Statistics, 10(2), 33–47. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajpas/2020/ v10i230243Khan, D., Ullah, A., Bibi, Z., Ullah, I., Zulfiqar, M. & Khan, Z. (2020). Forecasting area and production of guava in Pakistan: An econometric analysis. Sarhad Journal of Agriculture, 36(1), 272–281. http://dx.doi.org/10.17582/journal. sja/2020/36.1.272.281Majid, R. & Mir, S. (2018). Advances in Statistical Forecasting Methods: An Overview. Economic Affairs, 63(4), 815–831. https://doi.org/10.30954/0424-2513.4.2018.5Mehmood, S. & Ahmad, Z. (2013). Time series model to forecast area of mangoes from Pakistan: An application of univariate ARIMA model. Academy of Contemporary Research, 2(1), 10–15.Meyler, A., Kenny, G. & Quinn, T. (1998). Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models [Technical Paper 3/RT/98]. Dublín: Central Bank of Ireland. Available: https://www.centralbank.ie/docs/default-source/publications/research-technical-papers/3rt98---forecasting-irish-inflation-using-arima-models-(kenny-meyler-and-quinn).pdfPhillips, P. & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometricka, 75(2), 335–346. https://doi.org/10.2307/2336182República de Colombia. MinAgricultura. (2021). Cadena productiva de la mora Dirección de Cadenas Agrícolas y Forestales. Marzo de 2021. Bogotá, D.C.: Minagricultura. Recuperado de https://sioc.minagricultura.gov.co/Mora/Documentos/2021-03-31%20Cifras%20Sectoriales.pdfRestrepo, M., Luna-Ramirez, J. & Castaño-Quintero, V. (2019). Evaluation of the shelf-life of blackberry pulp fortified with physiologically active compounds. Respuestas, 24(2), 16–26. Available: https://revistas.ufps.edu.co/index.php/respuestas/article/download/1827/2203?inline=1Sánchez-López, E., Barreras-Serrano, A., Pérez-Linares, C., Figueroa-Saavedra, F. & Olivas-Valdez, J. (2013). Using an ARIMA model to forecast bovine milk production in Baja California, México. Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems, 16(3), 315–324. Available: https://www.revista.ccba.uady.mx/ojs/index. php/TSA/article/view/1290Ullah, A., Khan, D. & Zheng, S. (2018). Forecasting of peach area and production wise econometric analysis. The Journal of Animal & Plant Sciences, 28(4), 1121–1127. Available: http://www.thejaps.org.pk/docs/v-28-04/23.pdf8269144Predictive capacityUnivariate analysisProductionData modelingORIGINALUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdfUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdfArtículoapplication/pdf730948https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/1/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdffd2bcaec7c2d2a1ca7cbac3ce5ac63f8MD51open accessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-814828https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/2/license.txt2f9959eaf5b71fae44bbf9ec84150c7aMD52open accessTEXTUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdf.txtUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain34614https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/3/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdf.txt061f860f8e147743937e78a39b0e4b50MD53open accessTHUMBNAILUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdf.jpgUn modelo Box Jenkins ARIMA para modelar y pronosticar la producción de mora de castilla en Colombia.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg14670https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/bitstream/11323/9780/4/Un%20modelo%20Box%20Jenkins%20ARIMA%20para%20modelar%20y%20pronosticar%20la%20producci%c3%b3n%20de%20mora%20de%20castilla%20en%20Colombia.pdf.jpg39a427e889996c6aeb9ca03050ae5140MD54open access11323/9780oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/97802023-01-19 03:02:21.86An error occurred on the license name.|||https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/open accessRepositorio Universidad de La Costabdigital@metabiblioteca.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 |