Sale forecast for basic commodities based on artificial neural networks prediction

The objective of this paper is to carry out the comparison and selection of a method to forecast sales of basic food products efficiently. The source of data comes from a set of popular markets in the main departments of Colombia. The methods and methodologies used are: Hold Method, Winters, the Box...

Full description

Autores:
silva d, jesus g
Jesús Vargas Villa
Cabrera, Danelys
Tipo de recurso:
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_f744
Fecha de publicación:
2019
Institución:
Corporación Universidad de la Costa
Repositorio:
REDICUC - Repositorio CUC
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/5129
Acceso en línea:
https://hdl.handle.net/11323/5129
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
Commodities
Sales forecast
Rights
openAccess
License
CC0 1.0 Universal
Description
Summary:The objective of this paper is to carry out the comparison and selection of a method to forecast sales of basic food products efficiently. The source of data comes from a set of popular markets in the main departments of Colombia. The methods and methodologies used are: Hold Method, Winters, the Box Jenkins methodology (ARIMA) and an Artificial Neural Network. The results show that the artificial neural network obtained a better performance achieving the lowest mean square error.