Solar radiation prediction for dimensioning photovoltaic systems using artificial neural networks

This paper presents a prediction model of solar radiation for dimensioning photovoltaic generation systems in the Atlantic Coast of Colombia, using artificial neural networks. As a case of study is presented the municipality "El Carmen de Bolivar" located in this region. To obtain the mode...

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Autores:
Noriega Angarita, Eliana Maria
Sousa Santos, Vladimir
Quintero Duran, Michell Josep
Gil Arrieta, Cesar Javier
Tipo de recurso:
Article of journal
Fecha de publicación:
2016
Institución:
Corporación Universidad de la Costa
Repositorio:
REDICUC - Repositorio CUC
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/817
Acceso en línea:
http://hdl.handle.net/11323/817
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
Artificial neural networks
Modelling
Photovoltaic generation systems
Prediction
Solar radiation
Rights
openAccess
License
Atribución – No comercial – Compartir igual
Description
Summary:This paper presents a prediction model of solar radiation for dimensioning photovoltaic generation systems in the Atlantic Coast of Colombia, using artificial neural networks. As a case of study is presented the municipality "El Carmen de Bolivar" located in this region. To obtain the model, the average data of daily temperature, relative humidity and solar radiation from the last ten years, reported by weather stations in this city were used. Six neural networks were designed with six variants of input variables (temperature, humidity and month) and the output variable (solar radiation). The best result was obtained using all input variables. In the training process, the correlation index (R) between solar radiation estimated by the model and the recorded data was 0.8. In validating the correlation index was 0.77.