Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study
Q1
- Autores:
-
de Vries, Esther
Torres, Miguel Zamir
Rojas, Martha Patricia
Díaz, Gustavo
Herrán, Oscar Fernando
- Tipo de recurso:
- Article of journal
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2020
- Institución:
- Pontificia Universidad Javeriana
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio Universidad Javeriana
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.javeriana.edu.co:10554/53067
- Acceso en línea:
- https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/10/e037388
http://hdl.handle.net/10554/53067
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037388
- Palabra clave:
- Rights
- License
- Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional
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| dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| dc.title.english.spa.fl_str_mv |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| spellingShingle |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title_short |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title_full |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title_fullStr |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| title_sort |
Theoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling study |
| dc.creator.fl_str_mv |
de Vries, Esther Torres, Miguel Zamir Rojas, Martha Patricia Díaz, Gustavo Herrán, Oscar Fernando |
| dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv |
de Vries, Esther Torres, Miguel Zamir Rojas, Martha Patricia Díaz, Gustavo Herrán, Oscar Fernando |
| dc.contributor.corporatename.none.fl_str_mv |
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana. Facultad de Medicina. Departamento de Epidemiología Clínica y Bioestadística |
| dc.contributor.javerianateacher.none.fl_str_mv |
De Vries, Esther |
| description |
Q1 |
| publishDate |
2020 |
| dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-09-11 |
| dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-02-23T18:15:46Z |
| dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-02-23T18:15:46Z |
| dc.type.local.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo de revista |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
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https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/10/e037388 |
| dc.identifier.issn.spa.fl_str_mv |
2044-6055 |
| dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10554/53067 |
| dc.identifier.doi.spa.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037388 |
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instname:Pontificia Universidad Javeriana |
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reponame:Repositorio Institucional - Pontificia Universidad Javeriana |
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repourl:https://repository.javeriana.edu.co |
| url |
https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/10/e037388 http://hdl.handle.net/10554/53067 http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037388 |
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2044-6055 instname:Pontificia Universidad Javeriana reponame:Repositorio Institucional - Pontificia Universidad Javeriana repourl:https://repository.javeriana.edu.co |
| dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
| language |
eng |
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1 |
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8 |
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BMJ Open |
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10 |
| dc.relation.citationissue.spa.fl_str_mv |
10 |
| dc.rights.licence.*.fl_str_mv |
Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional |
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http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ |
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http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacional http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
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PDF |
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application/pdf |
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Colombia |
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Pontificia Universidad Javeriana |
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Atribución-NoComercial 4.0 Internacionalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2de Vries, EstherTorres, Miguel ZamirRojas, Martha PatriciaDíaz, GustavoHerrán, Oscar FernandoPontificia Universidad Javeriana. Facultad de Medicina. Departamento de Epidemiología Clínica y BioestadísticaDe Vries, EstherColombia2021-02-23T18:15:46Z2021-02-23T18:15:46Z2020-09-11https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/10/10/e0373882044-6055http://hdl.handle.net/10554/53067http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037388instname:Pontificia Universidad Javerianareponame:Repositorio Institucional - Pontificia Universidad Javerianarepourl:https://repository.javeriana.edu.coPDFapplication/pdfengTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling studyTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer in Colombia from reduction in the population exposure to tobacco, alcohol, excess weight and sedentary lifestyle: a modelling studyArtículo de revistahttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Q1Aims To determine the potential impact fraction of alcohol and tobacco consumption, high body mass index and low physical activity on colorectal cancer burden in Colombia for the period 2016–2050. Methods Based on age-specific and sex-specific data on colorectal cancer incidence, data from population-based surveys for the exposure data and population projections, the macrosimulation model Prevent V.3.01 was used to model expected colorectal cancer incidence for the period 2016–2050. Baseline models were those where exposure levels were not subject to change because of interventions. Two intervention scenarios were specified: one with elimination of exposure to the risk factor as of 2017 and a second one where over a 10-year period the current prevalence data gradually declined until they reach 90% of the 2016 levels. Results Under the reference scenarios, a total number of 274637 colorectal cancers would be expected to occur in the period 2016–2050. Under the scenario of 10% gradual decline in the prevalence of alcohol and tobacco consumption, physical inactivity and high body mass index, a total of 618, 488, 2954 and 2086 new cases, respectively, would be avoided. Under scenarios of elimination, these numbers of avoided cases would be 6908 (elimination alcohol), 6104 (elimination tobacco), 16637 (optimizing physical inactivity) and 25089 (all on ideal weight). Conclusions In order to reduce the burden of colorectal cancer, it is important to take measures to halt the current trends of increasing sedentary behaviour and overweight in the Colombian population. Proportionally, alcohol and tobacco consumption are less important population risk factors for colorectal cancerRevista Internacional - Indexada18BMJ Open1010LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82603http://repository.javeriana.edu.co/bitstream/10554/53067/2/license.txt2070d280cc89439d983d9eee1b17df53MD52open accessORIGINALTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer.pdfTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer.pdfArtículoapplication/pdf4106334http://repository.javeriana.edu.co/bitstream/10554/53067/1/Theoretical%20reduction%20of%20the%20incidence%20of%20colorectal%20cancer.pdf61cccf2f5c963f36f6fccc25dbbefeb9MD51open accessTHUMBNAILTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer.pdf.jpgTheoretical reduction of the incidence of colorectal cancer.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg7154http://repository.javeriana.edu.co/bitstream/10554/53067/3/Theoretical%20reduction%20of%20the%20incidence%20of%20colorectal%20cancer.pdf.jpg7c2faeadc8f58903cbd93a60908ca124MD53open access10554/53067oai:repository.javeriana.edu.co:10554/530672021-02-26 10:31:38.546Repositorio Institucional - Pontificia Universidad Javerianarepositorio@javeriana.edu.coTElDRU5DSUEgWSBBVVRPUklaQUNJw5NOIERFIExPUyBBVVRPUkVTIFBBUkEgUFVCTElDQVIgWSBQRVJNSVRJUiBMQSBDT05TVUxUQSBZIFVTTy4KClBhcnRlIDEuIFTDqXJtaW5vcyBkZSBsYSBsaWNlbmNpYSBnZW5lcmFsIHBhcmEgcHVibGljYWNpw7NuIGRlIG9icmFzIGVuIGVsIHJlcG9zaXRvcmlvIGluc3RpdHVjaW9uYWwKQ29tbyB0aXR1bGFyIChlcykgZGVsIGRlcmVjaG8gZGUgYXV0b3IsIGNvbmZpZXJvIChlcmltb3MpIGEgbGEgUG9udGlmaWNpYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBKYXZlcmlhbmEgdW5hIGxpY2VuY2lhIG5vIGV4Y2x1c2l2YSwgbGltaXRhZGEgeSBncmF0dWl0YSBzb2JyZSBsYSBvYnJhIHF1ZSBzZSBpbnRlZ3JhcsOhIGVuIGVsIFJlcG9zaXRvcmlvIEluc3RpdHVjaW9uYWwsIHF1ZSBzZSBhanVzdGEgYSBsYXMgc2lndWllbnRlcyBjYXJhY3RlcsOtc3RpY2FzOgphKSAgICAgIEVzdGFyw6EgdmlnZW50ZSBhIHBhcnRpciBkZSBsYSBmZWNoYSBkZSBpbmNsdXNpw7NuIGVuIGVsIHJlcG9zaXRvcmlvLCBwb3IgdW4gcGxhem8gZGUgNSBhw7FvcywgcXVlIHNlcsOhbiBwcm9ycm9nYWJsZXMgaW5kZWZpbmlkYW1lbnRlIHBvciBlbCB0aWVtcG8gcXVlIGR1cmUgZWwgZGVyZWNobyBwYXRyaW1vbmlhbCBkZWwgYXV0b3IuIEVsIGF1dG9yIHBvZHLDoSBkYXIgcG9yIHRlcm1pbmFkYSBsYSBsaWNlbmNpYSBzb2xpY2l0w6FuZG9sbyBhIGxhIFVuaXZlcnNpZGFkIHBvciBlc2NyaXRvLgpiKSAgICAgIEF1dG9yaXphIGEgbGEgUG9udGlmaWNpYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBKYXZlcmlhbmEgYSBwdWJsaWNhciBsYSBvYnJhIGVuIGRpZ2l0YWwsIGNvbm9jaWVuZG8gcXVlLCBkYWRvIHF1ZSBzZSBwdWJsaWNhIGVuIEludGVybmV0LCBwb3IgZXN0ZSBoZWNobyBjaXJjdWxhIGNvbiB1biBhbGNhbmNlIG11bmRpYWwuCmMpICAgICAgTG9zIGF1dG9yZXMgYWNlcHRhbiBxdWUgbGEgYXV0b3JpemFjacOzbiBzZSBoYWNlIGEgdMOtdHVsbyBncmF0dWl0bywgcG9yIGxvIHRhbnRvIHJlbnVuY2lhbiBhIHJlY2liaXIgYmVuZWZpY2lvIGFsZ3VubyBwb3IgbGEgcHVibGljYWNpw7NuLCBkaXN0cmlidWNpw7NuLCBjb211bmljYWNpw7NuIHDDumJsaWNhIHkgY3VhbHF1aWVyIG90cm8gdXNvIHF1ZSBzZSBoYWdhIGVuIGxvcyB0w6lybWlub3MgZGUgbGEgcHJlc2VudGUgbGljZW5jaWEgeSBkZSBsYSBsaWNlbmNpYSBkZSB1c28gY29uIHF1ZSBzZSBwdWJsaWNhLgpkKSAgICAgIExvcyBhdXRvcmVzIG1hbmlmaWVzdGFuIHF1ZSBzZSB0cmF0YSBkZSB1bmEgb2JyYSBvcmlnaW5hbCBzb2JyZSBsYSBxdWUgdGllbmVuIGxvcyBkZXJlY2hvcyBxdWUgYXV0b3JpemFuIHkgcXVlIHNvbiBlbGxvcyBxdWllbmVzIGFzdW1lbiB0b3RhbCByZXNwb25zYWJpbGlkYWQgcG9yIGVsIGNvbnRlbmlkbyBkZSBzdSBvYnJhIGFudGUgbGEgUG9udGlmaWNpYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBKYXZlcmlhbmEgeSBhbnRlIHRlcmNlcm9zLiBFbiB0b2RvIGNhc28gbGEgUG9udGlmaWNpYSBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZCBKYXZlcmlhbmEgc2UgY29tcHJvbWV0ZSBhIGluZGljYXIgc2llbXByZSBsYSBhdXRvcsOtYSBpbmNsdXllbmRvIGVsIG5vbWJyZSBkZWwgYXV0b3IgeSBsYSBmZWNoYSBkZSBwdWJsaWNhY2nDs24uCmUpICAgICAgQXV0b3Jpem8gKGFtb3MpIGEgbGEgVW5pdmVyc2lkYWQgcGFyYSBpbmNsdWlyIGxhIG9icmEgZW4gbG9zIMOtbmRpY2VzIHkgYnVzY2Fkb3JlcyBxdWUgZXN0aW1lbiBuZWNlc2FyaW9zIHBhcmEgcHJvbW92ZXIgc3UgZGlmdXNpw7NuLgpmKSAgICAgIEFjZXB0byAoYW1vcykgcXVlIGxhIFBvbnRpZmljaWEgVW5pdmVyc2lkYWQgSmF2ZXJpYW5hIHB1ZWRhIGNvbnZlcnRpciBlbCBkb2N1bWVudG8gYSBjdWFscXVpZXIgbWVkaW8gbyBmb3JtYXRvIHBhcmEgcHJvcMOzc2l0b3MgZGUgcHJlc2VydmFjacOzbiBkaWdpdGFsLgpnKSAgICAgIEF1dG9yaXpvIChhbW9zKSBxdWUgbGEgb2JyYSBzZWEgcHVlc3RhIGEgZGlzcG9zaWNpw7NuIGRlbCBww7pibGljbyBlbiBsb3MgdMOpcm1pbm9zIGF1dG9yaXphZG9zIGVuIGxvcyBsaXRlcmFsZXMgYW50ZXJpb3JlcyBiYWpvIGxvcyBsw61taXRlcyBkZWZpbmlkb3MgcG9yIGxhIHVuaXZlcnNpZGFkIGVuIGxhcyDigJxDb25kaWNpb25lcyBkZSB1c28gZGUgZXN0cmljdG8gY3VtcGxpbWllbnRv4oCdIGRlIGxvcyByZWN1cnNvcyBwdWJsaWNhZG9zIGVuIFJlcG9zaXRvcmlvIEluc3RpdHVjaW9uYWwgUFVKICwgY3V5byB0ZXh0byBjb21wbGV0byBzZSBwdWVkZSBjb25zdWx0YXIgZW4gaHR0cDovL3JlcG9zaXRvcnkuamF2ZXJpYW5hLmVkdS5jby8KClNJIEVMIERPQ1VNRU5UTyBTRSBCQVNBIEVOIFVOIFRSQUJBSk8gUVVFIEhBIFNJRE8gUEFUUk9DSU5BRE8gTyBBUE9ZQURPIFBPUiBVTkEgQUdFTkNJQSBPIFVOQSBPUkdBTklaQUNJw5NOLCBDT04gRVhDRVBDScOTTiBERSBMQSBQT05USUZJQ0lBIFVOSVZFUlNJREFEIEpBVkVSSUFOQSwgRUwgKExPUykgQVVUT1IoRVMpIEdBUkFOVElaQShNT1MpIFFVRSBTRSBIQSBDVU1QTElETyBDT04gTE9TIERFUkVDSE9TIFkgT0JMSUdBQ0lPTkVTIFJFUVVFUklET1MgUE9SIEVMIFJFU1BFQ1RJVk8gQ09OVFJBVE8gTyBBQ1VFUkRPLgo= |