Identifying the determinants of mortgage default in Colombia between 1997 and 2004

This paper examines the relationship between mortgage default decisions and relevant observable variables in Colombia between 1997 and 2004. We estimate a discrete choice model of default using a panel of individual mortgage characteristics and payment information. We show that home prices and debt...

Full description

Autores:
Carranza Romero, Juan Esteban
Estrada, Dairo
Tipo de recurso:
Article of investigation
Fecha de publicación:
2013
Institución:
Universidad ICESI
Repositorio:
Repositorio ICESI
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.icesi.edu.co:10906/79127
Acceso en línea:
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10436-012-0196-z
http://hdl.handle.net/10906/79127
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10436-012-0196-z
Palabra clave:
Economía
Econometría
Hipoteca
Economics
Econometrics models
Rights
openAccess
License
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description
Summary:This paper examines the relationship between mortgage default decisions and relevant observable variables in Colombia between 1997 and 2004. We estimate a discrete choice model of default using a panel of individual mortgage characteristics and payment information. We show that home prices and debt balances are the main determinants of mortgage default. We account for the presence of unobserved heterogeneity using Survey data and simulation techniques. Including controls for the distribution of income shows that income was not important but helps clarifying the relevance of mortgage leverage in the determination of the observed default rates.