Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment

Most lab experiments carried out on asset price bubbles have been based upon theoretical models that do not factor in a bubbling equilibrium. The aim of this paper is to propose a lab experiment which uses a model with bubbling equilibrium as its benchmark; to specify we used a modified version of t...

Full description

Autores:
Perdomo Strauch, Alvaro Andrés
Tipo de recurso:
Article of investigation
Fecha de publicación:
2020
Institución:
Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito
Repositorio:
Repositorio Institucional ECI
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co:001/1549
Acceso en línea:
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/1549
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738
Palabra clave:
Investigación de mercados - Métodos estadísticos
Comerciantes
Equilibrio burbujeante
Marketing research - Statistical methods
Merchants
Lab experiment
Bubbling equilibrium
Rights
closedAccess
License
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
id ESCUELAIG2_e8d5914c37362a5e53470d5dccf5d373
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co:001/1549
network_acronym_str ESCUELAIG2
network_name_str Repositorio Institucional ECI
repository_id_str
dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
title Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
spellingShingle Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
Investigación de mercados - Métodos estadísticos
Comerciantes
Equilibrio burbujeante
Marketing research - Statistical methods
Merchants
Lab experiment
Bubbling equilibrium
title_short Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
title_full Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
title_fullStr Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
title_full_unstemmed Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
title_sort Bubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment
dc.creator.fl_str_mv Perdomo Strauch, Alvaro Andrés
dc.contributor.author.none.fl_str_mv Perdomo Strauch, Alvaro Andrés
dc.contributor.researchgroup.spa.fl_str_mv Centro de Estudios Económicos
dc.subject.armarc.spa.fl_str_mv Investigación de mercados - Métodos estadísticos
Comerciantes
Equilibrio burbujeante
topic Investigación de mercados - Métodos estadísticos
Comerciantes
Equilibrio burbujeante
Marketing research - Statistical methods
Merchants
Lab experiment
Bubbling equilibrium
dc.subject.armarc.eng.fl_str_mv Marketing research - Statistical methods
Merchants
dc.subject.proposal.eng.fl_str_mv Lab experiment
Bubbling equilibrium
description Most lab experiments carried out on asset price bubbles have been based upon theoretical models that do not factor in a bubbling equilibrium. The aim of this paper is to propose a lab experiment which uses a model with bubbling equilibrium as its benchmark; to specify we used a modified version of the model built by Abreu and Brunnermeier (2003). In both models the asymmetries of information regarding the existence of the asset price bubbles induce rational traders to perpetuate the bubbles. In our experiment we found that human traders are, most of the time, risk averse, they suffer impatience and do not necessarily react appropriately to coordination messages (even though the presence of said messages affects their behavior) and sometimes they clearly behave irrationally. Last but not least, during the experiment we also found that the human traders could adapt their strategies to optimal equilibrium strategies, so long as these strategies were not too complex - but not all human traders have the same ability to execute this adaptation process.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.issued.none.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2021-06-03T15:44:44Z
2021-10-01T17:28:14Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2021-06-03T15:44:44Z
2021-10-01T17:28:14Z
dc.type.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo de revista
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.version.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.coar.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
dc.type.content.spa.fl_str_mv Text
dc.type.driver.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.redcol.spa.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ART
format http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 1703-4949
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/1549
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2019.e00134
dc.identifier.url.none.fl_str_mv https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738
identifier_str_mv 1703-4949
doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2019.e00134
url https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/1549
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.citationedition.spa.fl_str_mv Volume 21, Junio 2020
dc.relation.citationvolume.spa.fl_str_mv 21
dc.relation.indexed.spa.fl_str_mv N/A
dc.relation.ispartofjournal.spa.fl_str_mv The Journal of Economic Asymmetries
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb
dc.rights.uri.spa.fl_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.accessrights.spa.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.rights.creativecommons.spa.fl_str_mv Atribución 4.0 Internacional (CC BY 4.0)
rights_invalid_str_mv https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Atribución 4.0 Internacional (CC BY 4.0)
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb
eu_rights_str_mv closedAccess
dc.format.mimetype.spa.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv Elsevier
dc.publisher.place.spa.fl_str_mv Estados Unidos
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738?via%3Dihub
institution Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/1/license.txt
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/2/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/3/Bubbles%20and%20crashes_%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.txt
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/5/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.txt
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/4/Bubbles%20and%20crashes_%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.jpg
https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/6/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.jpg
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv 5a7ca94c2e5326ee169f979d71d0f06e
0b86b26ff877883438391d50e04f072d
5f7d7137f56c60b7c77255e22e855eb0
5f7d7137f56c60b7c77255e22e855eb0
ceb41a9239122c107a310d87e1f5e588
ceb41a9239122c107a310d87e1f5e588
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv MD5
MD5
MD5
MD5
MD5
MD5
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio.eci@escuelaing.edu.co
_version_ 1811575257406898176
spelling Perdomo Strauch, Alvaro Andrésc4ba7ef95ec5ce30c119fd5a0599b768600Centro de Estudios Económicos2021-06-03T15:44:44Z2021-10-01T17:28:14Z2021-06-03T15:44:44Z2021-10-01T17:28:14Z20201703-4949https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/1549doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2019.e00134https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738Most lab experiments carried out on asset price bubbles have been based upon theoretical models that do not factor in a bubbling equilibrium. The aim of this paper is to propose a lab experiment which uses a model with bubbling equilibrium as its benchmark; to specify we used a modified version of the model built by Abreu and Brunnermeier (2003). In both models the asymmetries of information regarding the existence of the asset price bubbles induce rational traders to perpetuate the bubbles. In our experiment we found that human traders are, most of the time, risk averse, they suffer impatience and do not necessarily react appropriately to coordination messages (even though the presence of said messages affects their behavior) and sometimes they clearly behave irrationally. Last but not least, during the experiment we also found that the human traders could adapt their strategies to optimal equilibrium strategies, so long as these strategies were not too complex - but not all human traders have the same ability to execute this adaptation process.La mayoría de los experimentos de laboratorio llevados a cabo sobre las burbujas de precios de los activos se han basado en modelos teóricos que no tienen en cuenta un equilibrio burbujeante. El objetivo de este artículo es proponer un experimento de laboratorio que utiliza un modelo con equilibrio burbujeante como referencia; para concretar utilizamos una versión modificada del modelo construido por Abreu y Brunnermeier (2003). En ambos modelos, las asimetrías de información sobre la existencia de burbujas de precios de activos inducen a los operadores racionales a perpetuar las burbujas. En nuestro experimento encontramos que los traders humanos son, la mayoría de las veces, reacios al riesgo, sufren impaciencia y no necesariamente reaccionan adecuadamente a los mensajes de coordinación (aunque la presencia de dichos mensajes afecta su comportamiento) y en ocasiones se comportan claramente de forma irracional. Por último, pero no menos importante, durante el experimento también descubrimos que los comerciantes humanos podían adaptar sus estrategias a estrategias de equilibrio óptimas, siempre que estas estrategias no fueran demasiado complejas, pero no todos los comerciantes humanos tienen la misma capacidad para ejecutar este proceso de adaptación.Received 24 August 2019, Revised 11 October 2019, Accepted 11 October 2019, Available online 7 November 2019.Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito (Department of Economics)application/pdfengElsevierEstados Unidoshttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessAtribución 4.0 Internacional (CC BY 4.0)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cbhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494919300738?via%3DihubBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experimentArtículo de revistainfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1Textinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://purl.org/redcol/resource_type/ARThttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85Volume 21, Junio 202021N/AThe Journal of Economic AsymmetriesInvestigación de mercados - Métodos estadísticosComerciantesEquilibrio burbujeanteMarketing research - Statistical methodsMerchantsLab experimentBubbling equilibriumLICENSElicense.txttext/plain1881https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/1/license.txt5a7ca94c2e5326ee169f979d71d0f06eMD51open accessORIGINALBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment.pdfapplication/pdf1076599https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/2/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf0b86b26ff877883438391d50e04f072dMD52metadata only accessTEXTBubbles and crashes_ A laboratory experiment.pdf.txtBubbles and crashes_ A laboratory experiment.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain77241https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/3/Bubbles%20and%20crashes_%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.txt5f7d7137f56c60b7c77255e22e855eb0MD53open accessBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment.pdf.txtBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain77241https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/5/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.txt5f7d7137f56c60b7c77255e22e855eb0MD55metadata only accessTHUMBNAILBubbles and crashes_ A laboratory experiment.pdf.jpgBubbles and crashes_ A laboratory experiment.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg13894https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/4/Bubbles%20and%20crashes_%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.jpgceb41a9239122c107a310d87e1f5e588MD54open accessBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment.pdf.jpgBubbles and crashes: A laboratory experiment.pdf.jpgGenerated Thumbnailimage/jpeg13894https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/bitstream/001/1549/6/Bubbles%20and%20crashes%3a%20A%20laboratory%20experiment.pdf.jpgceb41a9239122c107a310d87e1f5e588MD56metadata only access001/1549oai:repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co:001/15492022-09-24 09:33:47.292metadata only accessRepositorio Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavitorepositorio.eci@escuelaing.edu.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