Evaluación del riesgo socio-económico e Impacto en la sostenibilidad de la formalización del eslabón primario de la cadena láctea en Cundinamarca

According to the document Conpes (2010), the Colombian dairy chain presents Problems such as: high production costs, low productivity and low level of associativity; These make it difficult to achieve productivity levels and competitiveness according to international standards. While it is true that have proposed strategies for their solution, currently the use of technology obsolete or inappropriate, inefficient production systems, low level of associativity and low level of formalization, continue to hinder the improvement of the competitiveness of the sector. In such a way, that when studying the socio-economic risks and the impact on sustainability of the formalization of the primary link seeks, on the one hand, to know the behavior of the link against policies in different scenarios and, on the other, strengthen strategies that currently exist for the improvement of the entire chain. At the local level, in the Cundinamarca region, the dairy chain is influenced directly and indirectly through the political, economic, social and cultural, national and international; what demands a holistic vision, through the use of tools and methodologies different from conventional ones, such as is the Dynamics of Systems, as this is a tool for modeling complex systems. Therefore, alternatives can be proposed for the taking of decisions for the benefit of farmers and in turn generate impact on the rest of the chain. For this purpose, a bibliographic review is made to know the global, national and local chain reality. Following this, a exploratory study, in the field, to contrast the approaches found in literature review and then model sustainability and risk socio-economic of the primary link; to finally, study the behavior of the link to the policies through different scenarios of sensitivity.

• Autores: Baquero Sandoval, Darwin Antonio
• Fecha de publicación: 2017
• Institución: Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito
• Repositorio: Repositorio Institucional ECI
• Idioma: spa
• OAI Identifier: oai:repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co:001/706
• Acceso en línea: https://catalogo.escuelaing.edu.co/cgi-bin/koha/opac-detail.pl?biblionumber=21129; https://repositorio.escuelaing.edu.co/handle/001/706
• Palabra clave: Dinámica de sistemas; Gestión del riesgo; Systems dynamics; Risk management
• Rights: openAccess
• License: Derechos Reservados - Escuela Colombiana de Ingeniería Julio Garavito