Strong ground motion prediction using virtual earthquakes

Sedimentary basins increase the damaging effects of earthquakes by trapping and amplifying seismic waves. Simulations of seismic wave propagation in sedimentary basins capture this effect; however, there exists no method to validate these results for earthquakes that have not yet occurred. We presen...

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Autores:
Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2014
Institución:
Universidad del Rosario
Repositorio:
Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26997
Acceso en línea:
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1245678
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26997
Palabra clave:
Amplitude
Greens function
Wave propagation
Signal amplification
Simulations
Seismic waves
Geophysics
Oceans
Seismographs
Rights
License
Restringido (Acceso a grupos específicos)
Description
Summary:Sedimentary basins increase the damaging effects of earthquakes by trapping and amplifying seismic waves. Simulations of seismic wave propagation in sedimentary basins capture this effect; however, there exists no method to validate these results for earthquakes that have not yet occurred. We present a new approach for ground motion prediction that uses the ambient seismic field. We apply our method to a suite of magnitude 7 scenario earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault and compare our ground motion predictions with simulations. Both methods find strong amplification and coupling of source and structure effects, but they predict substantially different shaking patterns across the Los Angeles Basin. The virtual earthquake approach provides a new approach for predicting long-period strong ground motion.