Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes

Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that futu...

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Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2016
Institución:
Universidad del Rosario
Repositorio:
Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26387
Acceso en línea:
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387
Palabra clave:
Attribution
Monsoon rainfall
Land cover changes
Model intercomparison
Teleconnections
Biophysical effects
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License
Abierto (Texto Completo)
id EDOCUR2_d9fa89940569f6052f34dbef19a412f1
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26387
network_acronym_str EDOCUR2
network_name_str Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
repository_id_str
spelling 829721600c0d3cf16-4d2f-440c-ab5c-eac0389d9a61-1cb4e3468-7d6b-4bd2-8b14-3ff01d8e74e9-1bb152a3a-5f6d-41e3-9fef-f5230b64f356-12020-08-06T16:21:32Z2020-08-06T16:21:32Z2016-12-04Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that future LULCC significantly reduce monsoon precipitation in at least four (out of eight) monsoon regions. While monsoon rainfalls are likely to intensify under future global warming, we estimate that biophysical effects of LULCC substantially weaken future projections of monsoons' rainfall by 9% (Indian region), 12% (East Asian), 32% (South African), and 41% (North African), with an average of ~?30% for projections across the global monsoon region. A similar strong contribution is found for biophysical effects of past LULCC to monsoon rainfall changes since the preindustrial period. Rather than remote effects, local land?atmosphere interactions, implying a decrease in evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and clouds along with more anticyclonic conditions, could explain this reduction in monsoon rainfall.application/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663ISSN: 0094-8276ESSN: 1944-8007https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387engJohn Wiley and Sons1050No. 21041Geophysical Research LettersVol. 44Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN: 0094-8276; ESSN: 1944-8007, Vol.44, No.2 (January, 2017); pp.1041-1050https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL070663Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Geophysical Research Lettersinstname:Universidad del Rosarioreponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURAttributionMonsoon rainfallLand cover changesModel intercomparisonTeleconnectionsBiophysical effectsReduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changesReducción de las lluvias monzónicas en respuesta al uso de la tierra pasado y futuro y los cambios en la coberturaarticleArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Quesada, Benjamín RaphaelDevaraju, NarayanappaDe Noblet?Ducoudré, NathalieArneth, Almut10336/26387oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/263872021-06-03 00:50:57.091https://repository.urosario.edu.coRepositorio institucional EdocURedocur@urosario.edu.co
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.spa.fl_str_mv Reducción de las lluvias monzónicas en respuesta al uso de la tierra pasado y futuro y los cambios en la cobertura
title Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
spellingShingle Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
Attribution
Monsoon rainfall
Land cover changes
Model intercomparison
Teleconnections
Biophysical effects
title_short Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
title_full Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
title_fullStr Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
title_full_unstemmed Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
title_sort Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Attribution
Monsoon rainfall
Land cover changes
Model intercomparison
Teleconnections
Biophysical effects
topic Attribution
Monsoon rainfall
Land cover changes
Model intercomparison
Teleconnections
Biophysical effects
description Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that future LULCC significantly reduce monsoon precipitation in at least four (out of eight) monsoon regions. While monsoon rainfalls are likely to intensify under future global warming, we estimate that biophysical effects of LULCC substantially weaken future projections of monsoons' rainfall by 9% (Indian region), 12% (East Asian), 32% (South African), and 41% (North African), with an average of ~?30% for projections across the global monsoon region. A similar strong contribution is found for biophysical effects of past LULCC to monsoon rainfall changes since the preindustrial period. Rather than remote effects, local land?atmosphere interactions, implying a decrease in evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and clouds along with more anticyclonic conditions, could explain this reduction in monsoon rainfall.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.created.spa.fl_str_mv 2016-12-04
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2020-08-06T16:21:32Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2020-08-06T16:21:32Z
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv article
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
dc.type.spa.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv ISSN: 0094-8276
ESSN: 1944-8007
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387
url https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387
identifier_str_mv ISSN: 0094-8276
ESSN: 1944-8007
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.citationEndPage.none.fl_str_mv 1050
dc.relation.citationIssue.none.fl_str_mv No. 2
dc.relation.citationStartPage.none.fl_str_mv 1041
dc.relation.citationTitle.none.fl_str_mv Geophysical Research Letters
dc.relation.citationVolume.none.fl_str_mv Vol. 44
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN: 0094-8276; ESSN: 1944-8007, Vol.44, No.2 (January, 2017); pp.1041-1050
dc.relation.uri.spa.fl_str_mv https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL070663
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.acceso.spa.fl_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
rights_invalid_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.format.mimetype.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv John Wiley and Sons
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv Geophysical Research Letters
institution Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.instname.none.fl_str_mv instname:Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.reponame.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio institucional EdocUR
repository.mail.fl_str_mv edocur@urosario.edu.co
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