Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes
Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that futu...
- Autores:
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2016
- Institución:
- Universidad del Rosario
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26387
- Acceso en línea:
- https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387
- Palabra clave:
- Attribution
Monsoon rainfall
Land cover changes
Model intercomparison
Teleconnections
Biophysical effects
- Rights
- License
- Abierto (Texto Completo)
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829721600c0d3cf16-4d2f-440c-ab5c-eac0389d9a61-1cb4e3468-7d6b-4bd2-8b14-3ff01d8e74e9-1bb152a3a-5f6d-41e3-9fef-f5230b64f356-12020-08-06T16:21:32Z2020-08-06T16:21:32Z2016-12-04Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that future LULCC significantly reduce monsoon precipitation in at least four (out of eight) monsoon regions. While monsoon rainfalls are likely to intensify under future global warming, we estimate that biophysical effects of LULCC substantially weaken future projections of monsoons' rainfall by 9% (Indian region), 12% (East Asian), 32% (South African), and 41% (North African), with an average of ~?30% for projections across the global monsoon region. A similar strong contribution is found for biophysical effects of past LULCC to monsoon rainfall changes since the preindustrial period. Rather than remote effects, local land?atmosphere interactions, implying a decrease in evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and clouds along with more anticyclonic conditions, could explain this reduction in monsoon rainfall.application/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663ISSN: 0094-8276ESSN: 1944-8007https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387engJohn Wiley and Sons1050No. 21041Geophysical Research LettersVol. 44Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN: 0094-8276; ESSN: 1944-8007, Vol.44, No.2 (January, 2017); pp.1041-1050https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL070663Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Geophysical Research Lettersinstname:Universidad del Rosarioreponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURAttributionMonsoon rainfallLand cover changesModel intercomparisonTeleconnectionsBiophysical effectsReduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changesReducción de las lluvias monzónicas en respuesta al uso de la tierra pasado y futuro y los cambios en la coberturaarticleArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Quesada, Benjamín RaphaelDevaraju, NarayanappaDe Noblet?Ducoudré, NathalieArneth, Almut10336/26387oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/263872021-06-03 00:50:57.091https://repository.urosario.edu.coRepositorio institucional EdocURedocur@urosario.edu.co |
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.spa.fl_str_mv |
Reducción de las lluvias monzónicas en respuesta al uso de la tierra pasado y futuro y los cambios en la cobertura |
title |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
spellingShingle |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes Attribution Monsoon rainfall Land cover changes Model intercomparison Teleconnections Biophysical effects |
title_short |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
title_full |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
title_fullStr |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
title_sort |
Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land use and land cover changes |
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv |
Attribution Monsoon rainfall Land cover changes Model intercomparison Teleconnections Biophysical effects |
topic |
Attribution Monsoon rainfall Land cover changes Model intercomparison Teleconnections Biophysical effects |
description |
Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) can have significant biophysical impacts on regional precipitation, including monsoon rainfall. Using global simulations with and without LULCC from five general circulation models, under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario, we find that future LULCC significantly reduce monsoon precipitation in at least four (out of eight) monsoon regions. While monsoon rainfalls are likely to intensify under future global warming, we estimate that biophysical effects of LULCC substantially weaken future projections of monsoons' rainfall by 9% (Indian region), 12% (East Asian), 32% (South African), and 41% (North African), with an average of ~?30% for projections across the global monsoon region. A similar strong contribution is found for biophysical effects of past LULCC to monsoon rainfall changes since the preindustrial period. Rather than remote effects, local land?atmosphere interactions, implying a decrease in evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and clouds along with more anticyclonic conditions, could explain this reduction in monsoon rainfall. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.created.spa.fl_str_mv |
2016-12-04 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-08-06T16:21:32Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-08-06T16:21:32Z |
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv |
article |
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
dc.type.spa.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
ISSN: 0094-8276 ESSN: 1944-8007 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070663 https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26387 |
identifier_str_mv |
ISSN: 0094-8276 ESSN: 1944-8007 |
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.citationEndPage.none.fl_str_mv |
1050 |
dc.relation.citationIssue.none.fl_str_mv |
No. 2 |
dc.relation.citationStartPage.none.fl_str_mv |
1041 |
dc.relation.citationTitle.none.fl_str_mv |
Geophysical Research Letters |
dc.relation.citationVolume.none.fl_str_mv |
Vol. 44 |
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv |
Geophysical Research Letters, ISSN: 0094-8276; ESSN: 1944-8007, Vol.44, No.2 (January, 2017); pp.1041-1050 |
dc.relation.uri.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL070663 |
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.rights.acceso.spa.fl_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.format.mimetype.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
John Wiley and Sons |
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv |
Geophysical Research Letters |
institution |
Universidad del Rosario |
dc.source.instname.none.fl_str_mv |
instname:Universidad del Rosario |
dc.source.reponame.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositorio institucional EdocUR |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
edocur@urosario.edu.co |
_version_ |
1814167504948297728 |