Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia
Los hogares suelen tener respuestas heterogéneas a los fenómenos naturales, como la decisión de tener o no hijos y cuándo hacerlo. Este trabajo analiza el efecto a mediano plazo de las afectaciones a las viviendas causadas por las inundaciones durante el fenómeno de “La Niña” sobre las decisiones de...
- Autores:
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2022
- Institución:
- Universidad del Rosario
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/37825
- Acceso en línea:
- https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_37825
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/37825
- Palabra clave:
- Decisiones de fertilidad
Embarazo
Choques climáticos
Inundaciones
Economía
Fertility choices
Pregnancy
Climate shocks
Floods
- Rights
- License
- Abierto (Texto Completo)
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|
dc.title.es.fl_str_mv |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.es.fl_str_mv |
¿Está La Niña en contra de los niños? Impacto de las inundaciones en las decisiones de fecundidad en Colombia |
title |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
spellingShingle |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia Decisiones de fertilidad Embarazo Choques climáticos Inundaciones Economía Fertility choices Pregnancy Climate shocks Floods |
title_short |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
title_full |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
title_fullStr |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
title_sort |
Is La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia |
dc.contributor.advisor.none.fl_str_mv |
Rodríguez Lesmes, Paul Andrés García Suaza, Andrés Felipe |
dc.subject.es.fl_str_mv |
Decisiones de fertilidad Embarazo Choques climáticos Inundaciones |
topic |
Decisiones de fertilidad Embarazo Choques climáticos Inundaciones Economía Fertility choices Pregnancy Climate shocks Floods |
dc.subject.ddc.es.fl_str_mv |
Economía |
dc.subject.keyword.es.fl_str_mv |
Fertility choices Pregnancy Climate shocks Floods |
description |
Los hogares suelen tener respuestas heterogéneas a los fenómenos naturales, como la decisión de tener o no hijos y cuándo hacerlo. Este trabajo analiza el efecto a mediano plazo de las afectaciones a las viviendas causadas por las inundaciones durante el fenómeno de “La Niña” sobre las decisiones de fecundidad de los hogares. A diferencia de algunos análisis sobre choques climáticos y decisiones de fecundidad, en un contexto de pérdidas significativas de vidas e infraestructuras, “La Niña” no representó un alto riesgo en la vida de las personas. Sin embargo, fue lo suficientemente fuerte como para generar perturbaciones en las decisiones de las familias a través de la pérdida de empleos y cosechas u otros medios de subsistencia que podrían reducir las fuentes de ingresos del hogar. Utilizamos una estrategia de diferencias en diferencias para comparar los municipios con alta exposición a las inundaciones, medida por el porcentaje de viviendas afectadas, frente a municipios con baja exposición antes y después de la perturbación climática. Nuestros principales resultados sugieren un aumento del 6% en la tasa global de fecundidad (TGF) promedio en los municipios más afectados por las inundaciones durante la ola invernal. Argumentamos que este efecto se debe a la amplia política de ayuda humanitaria del gobierno colombiano y a la percepción de los niños como un seguro de ingresos a largo plazo. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12-21T04:57:55Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-12-21T04:57:55Z |
dc.date.created.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-11-11 |
dc.type.es.fl_str_mv |
bachelorThesis |
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_7a1f |
dc.type.document.es.fl_str_mv |
Trabajo de grado |
dc.type.spa.es.fl_str_mv |
Trabajo de grado |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_37825 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/37825 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.48713/10336_37825 https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/37825 |
dc.language.iso.es.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.rights.acceso.es.fl_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.format.extent.es.fl_str_mv |
37 pp |
dc.format.mimetype.es.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
Universidad del Rosario |
dc.publisher.department.spa.fl_str_mv |
Facultad de Economía |
dc.publisher.program.spa.fl_str_mv |
Maestría en Economía |
institution |
Universidad del Rosario |
dc.source.bibliographicCitation.none.fl_str_mv |
Guerra-Cújar, M E; Prem, M; Rodríguez-Lesmes, P; Vargas, J (2022) A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement. Toulouse: Institute For Advanced Study in Toulouse: IAST; Brando, J F; Santos, R J (2015) La Niña y los niños: Effects of an unexpected winter on early life human. Bogotá D.C.: Documentos CEDE, Universidad de Los Andes; Bernal-Macías, C (2021) Child labor, rainfall shock, and financial inclusion: Evidence from rural. Bogotá D.C.: Facultad de Economía, Universidad del Rosario; Marchetta, F; Sahn, D; Tiberti, L (2018) School or Work? The Role of Weather Shocks in Madagascar. Bonn: IZA Discussion Papers, No. 11435; Dell, M; Jones, B; Olken, B (2014) What do we learn from the weather? The new climate-economy literature. En: Journal of Economic Literature. Vol. 52; pp. 740–798 Burke, M; Hsiang, S; Miguel, E (2015) Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. En: Nature. Vol. 527; pp. 235–239 Rentschler, J; Salhab, M; Jafino, B (2022) Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries. En: Nature Communications. Vol. 13; No. 3527; Abadie, Alberto; Athey, Susan; Imbens, Guido; Wooldridge, Jeffrey (2022) When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?. : Working Paper, arXiv; Euscátegui, C; Hurtado, G (2011) Análisis del impacto del fenómeno de ``La Niña'' 2010-2011 en la. : IDEAM; Ocha, (2010) Temporada de lluvias 2010 Fenómeno de La Niña. Informe de Situación #6. : OCHA; Bid-Cepal, (2012) Valoración de daños y pérdidas Ola invernal en Colombia 2010-2011. : BID-CEPAL-DNP; Nuñez, J; Hurtado-Caycedo, C; Páez, F; Bateman, A; Pinzón, C; Gutiérrez, C; Castillo, J (2013) Evaluación de los programas para la atención del Fenómeno de la Niña. Bogotá D.C.: Fedesarrollo; Ramírez, J C; de Aguas, J M (2016) Configuración territorial de las provincias de Colombia. Ruralidad y redes. : CEPAL; Dnp, (2018) Índice Municipal de Riesgos de Desastres Ajustado por Capacidades. : DNP; Winsemius, H; Aerts, J; van Beek, L; Bierkens, M; Bouwman, A; Jongman, B; Kwadijk, J; Ligtvoet, W; Lucas, P; van Vuuren, D; Ward, P (2016) Global drivers of future river flood risk. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 6; pp. 381–385 Hallegatte, S; Bangalorem, M; Bonzanigo, L; Fay, M; Kane, T; Narloch, U; Rozenberg, J; Treguer, D; Vogt-Schilb, A (2016) Shock Waves Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty. Washington, DC: World Bank; Hirabayashi, Y; Mahendran, R; Koirala, S; Konoshima, L; Yamazaki, D; Watanabe, S; Kim, H; Kanae, S (2013) Global flood risk under climate change. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 3; pp. 816–821 Bilsborrow, R (1987) Population Pressures and Agricultural Development in Developing Countries:. En: World Development. Vol. 15; No. 2; pp. 183–203 Davis, K (1963) The Theory of Change and Response in Modern Demographic History. En: Population Index. Vol. 29; No. 4; pp. 345-366 Davis, J; López-Carr, D (2010) The effects of migrant remittances on population-environment dynamics in. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 32; pp. 216-237 Bremner, J; Lopez-Carr, D; Suter, L; Davis, J (2010) Population, poverty, environment, and climate dynamics in the developing. En: Interdisciplinary Environmental Review. Vol. 11; pp. 112-126 de Sherbinin, A; Carr, D; Cassels, S; Jiang, L (2007) Population and Environment. En: Annual Review of Environment and Resources. Vol. 32; pp. 345-373 Finlay, J (2009) Fertility Response to Natural Disasters The Case of Three High Mortality. : Policy Research Working Paper 4883, World Bank; Nobles, J; Frankenberg, E; Thomas, D (2015) The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics After a Natural. En: Demography. Vol. 52; pp. 15-38 Davis, J (2017) Fertility after natural disaster: Hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 38; No. 4; pp. 448–466 Barreca, A; Deschenes, O; Guldi, M (2018) Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth. En: Demography. Vol. 55; pp. 1269–1293 Sellers, S; Gray, C (2019) Climate shocks constrain human fertility in Indonesia. En: World Development. Vol. 117; pp. 357–369 Alam, S; Pörtner, C (2018) Income shocks, contraceptive use, and timing of fertility. En: Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 131; pp. 96-103 Hope, R (2002) Wildlife harvesting, conservation and poverty: The economics of olive. En: Environmental Conservation. Vol. 29; pp. 375-384 Mea, (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press; Ellis, Frank (1999) Rural Livelihood Diversity in Developing Countries: Evidence and Policy. En: ODI Natural Resources Perspectives. Vol. 40; Eakin, Hallie; Lemos, Maria (2010) Institutions and change: The challenge of building adaptive capacity in. En: Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. Vol. 20; pp. 1-3 Palloni, A; Rafalimanana, H (1999) The Effects of Infant Mortality on Fertility Revisited: New Evidence from. En: Demography. Vol. 36; No. 1; pp. 41-58 Filmer, Deon; Pritchett, Lant (2002) Environmental degradation and the demand for children: Searching for the. En: Environment and Development Economics. Vol. 7; pp. 123-146 Biddlecom, Ann; Axinn, William; Barber, Jennifer (2005) Environmental Effects on Family Size Preferences and Subsequent. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 26; Cain, Mead (1983) Fertility as an Adjustment to Risk. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 9; No. 4; pp. 688-702 Carta, G; D'Alfonso, A; Colagrande, I; Catana, P; Casacchia, M; Patacchiola, F (2012) Post-earthquake birth-rate evaluation using the brief cope. En: The Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine. Vol. 25; No. 11; pp. 2411–2414 Tong, Van; Zotti, Marianne; Hsia, Jason (2010) Impact of the Red River Catastrophic Flood on Women Giving Birth in North. En: Maternal and child health journal. Vol. 15; pp. 281-288 Guarcello, Lorenzo; Mealli, Fabrizia; Rosati, Furio (2010) Household vulnerability and child labor: The effect of shocks, credit. En: Journal of Population Economics. Vol. 23; pp. 169-198 Pörtner, Claus (2001) Children as Insurance. En: Journal of Population Economics. Vol. 14; No. 1; pp. 119-136 Pörtner, Claus (2006) Gone With the Wind? Hurricane Risk, Fertility and Education. En: SSRN Electronic Journal. Vail, K; Juhl, J; Arndt, J; Vess, M; Routledge, C; Rutjens, B (2012) When death is good for life: Considering the positive trajectories of. En: Personality and Social Psychology Review. Vol. 16; pp. 303-329 Ferreira, F; Schady, N (2009) Aggregate economic shocks, child schooling, and child health. En: The World Bank Research Observer. Vol. 24; pp. 147–181 Basu, Kaushik; Van, Pham (1998) The Economics of Child Labor. En: The American Economic Review. Vol. 88; No. 3; pp. 412-427 Beegle, Kathleen; Dehejia, Rajeev; Gatti, Roberta (2006) Child Labour and Agricultural Shocks. En: Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 81; pp. 80-96 Cain, Mead (1981) Risk and Insurance: Perspectives on Fertility and Agrarian Change in India. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 7; No. 3; pp. 435-474 Eloundou-Enyegue, Parfait M; Stokes, C Shannon; Cornwell, Gretchen T (2000) Are There Crisis-Led Fertility Declines? Evidence from Central Cameroon. En: Population Research and Policy Review. Vol. 19; No. 1; pp. 47-72 Kim, J; Prskawetz, Alexia (2009) External Shocks, Household Consumption and Fertility in Indonesia. En: Population Research and Policy Review. Vol. 29; Schultz, Paul (1997) Demand for children in low income countries. En: Handbook of Population and Family Economics. Vol. 1; Bongaarts, John; Feeney, Griffith (1998) On the Quantum and Tempo of Fertility. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 24; No. 2; pp. 271-291 Lambin, E; Geist, H; Rindfuss, R (2006) Introduction: Local processes with global impacts. En: Land-use and land-cover change: Local processes and global impacts. pp. 1-8 Cohan, Catherine; Cole, Steve (2002) Life course transitions and natural disaster: Marriage, birth, and divorce. En: Journal of Family Psychology. Vol. 16; pp. 14-25 Birchenall, Javier; Soares, Rodrigo (2009) Altruism, fertility, and the value of children: Health policy evaluation. En: Journal of Public Economics. Vol. 93; pp. 280-295 Portner, C (2014) Gone with the Wind? Hurricane Risk, Fertility, and Education. : Working Paper Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of; Portner, C (2010) Natural Hazards and Child Health. : Working Paper Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of; Kochar, Anjini (1999) Smoothing Consumption by Smoothing Income: Hours-of-Work Responses to. En: The Review of Economics and Statistics. Vol. 81; No. 1; pp. 50-61 de la Mata, D; Valencia-Amaya, M (2014) The Health Impacts of Severe Climate Shocks in Colombia. : IDB Working Paper Series No. IDB-WP-498; |
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Rodríguez Lesmes, Paul Andrés1026257993600García Suaza, Andrés Felipe8063566600Ortiz Ortiz, SantiagoMagíster en EconomíaMaestríaFull time26e10364-cc8a-4221-b403-c8759ac3f18c6002022-12-21T04:57:55Z2022-12-21T04:57:55Z2022-11-11Los hogares suelen tener respuestas heterogéneas a los fenómenos naturales, como la decisión de tener o no hijos y cuándo hacerlo. Este trabajo analiza el efecto a mediano plazo de las afectaciones a las viviendas causadas por las inundaciones durante el fenómeno de “La Niña” sobre las decisiones de fecundidad de los hogares. A diferencia de algunos análisis sobre choques climáticos y decisiones de fecundidad, en un contexto de pérdidas significativas de vidas e infraestructuras, “La Niña” no representó un alto riesgo en la vida de las personas. Sin embargo, fue lo suficientemente fuerte como para generar perturbaciones en las decisiones de las familias a través de la pérdida de empleos y cosechas u otros medios de subsistencia que podrían reducir las fuentes de ingresos del hogar. Utilizamos una estrategia de diferencias en diferencias para comparar los municipios con alta exposición a las inundaciones, medida por el porcentaje de viviendas afectadas, frente a municipios con baja exposición antes y después de la perturbación climática. Nuestros principales resultados sugieren un aumento del 6% en la tasa global de fecundidad (TGF) promedio en los municipios más afectados por las inundaciones durante la ola invernal. Argumentamos que este efecto se debe a la amplia política de ayuda humanitaria del gobierno colombiano y a la percepción de los niños como un seguro de ingresos a largo plazo.Households tend to have heterogeneous responses to natural phenomena, such as deciding whether and when to have children. This paper analyzes the mid-term effect of housing affectations caused by the floods during the “La Niña” phenomenon on fertility decisions. Unlike some analyses of climate shocks and fertility decisions developed in the context of significant losses in life and infrastructure, “La Niña” did not represent a high risk in people’s lives. However, it was large enough to generate shocks in families’ decisions via loss of jobs and crops or other means of subsistence that could reduce the household’s sources of income. We use a difference-in-differences strategy to compare municipalities with high exposure to flooding, measured by the percentage of affected homes, against municipalities with low exposure before and after the climate shock. Our main results suggest an increase of 6% in the average total fertility rate (TFR) in the most flood-affected municipalities during the winter season. We argue that this effect is driven by the Colombian government’s broad humanitarian aid policy and the perception of children as income insurance in the long term.37 ppapplication/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.48713/10336_37825https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/37825engUniversidad del RosarioFacultad de EconomíaMaestría en EconomíaAbierto (Texto Completo)EL AUTOR, manifiesta que la obra objeto de la presente autorización es original y la realizó sin violar o usurpar derechos de autor de terceros, por lo tanto la obra es de exclusiva autoría y tiene la titularidad sobre la misma. PARGRAFO: En caso de presentarse cualquier reclamación o acción por parte de un tercero en cuanto a los derechos de autor sobre la obra en cuestión, EL AUTOR, asumirá toda la responsabilidad, y saldrá en defensa de los derechos aquí autorizados; para todos los efectos la universidad actúa como un tercero de buena fe. EL AUTOR, autoriza a LA UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO, para que en los términos establecidos en la Ley 23 de 1982, Ley 44 de 1993, Decisión andina 351 de 1993, Decreto 460 de 1995 y demás normas generales sobre la materia, utilice y use la obra objeto de la presente autorización. -------------------------------------- POLITICA DE TRATAMIENTO DE DATOS PERSONALES. Declaro que autorizo previa y de forma informada el tratamiento de mis datos personales por parte de LA UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO para fines académicos y en aplicación de convenios con terceros o servicios conexos con actividades propias de la academia, con estricto cumplimiento de los principios de ley. Para el correcto ejercicio de mi derecho de habeas data cuento con la cuenta de correo habeasdata@urosario.edu.co, donde previa identificación podré solicitar la consulta, corrección y supresión de mis datos.http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Guerra-Cújar, M E; Prem, M; Rodríguez-Lesmes, P; Vargas, J (2022) A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia’s Peace Agreement. Toulouse: Institute For Advanced Study in Toulouse: IAST;Brando, J F; Santos, R J (2015) La Niña y los niños: Effects of an unexpected winter on early life human. Bogotá D.C.: Documentos CEDE, Universidad de Los Andes;Bernal-Macías, C (2021) Child labor, rainfall shock, and financial inclusion: Evidence from rural. Bogotá D.C.: Facultad de Economía, Universidad del Rosario;Marchetta, F; Sahn, D; Tiberti, L (2018) School or Work? The Role of Weather Shocks in Madagascar. Bonn: IZA Discussion Papers, No. 11435;Dell, M; Jones, B; Olken, B (2014) What do we learn from the weather? The new climate-economy literature. En: Journal of Economic Literature. Vol. 52; pp. 740–798 Burke, M; Hsiang, S; Miguel, E (2015) Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. En: Nature. Vol. 527; pp. 235–239 Rentschler, J; Salhab, M; Jafino, B (2022) Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries. En: Nature Communications. Vol. 13; No. 3527;Abadie, Alberto; Athey, Susan; Imbens, Guido; Wooldridge, Jeffrey (2022) When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?. : Working Paper, arXiv;Euscátegui, C; Hurtado, G (2011) Análisis del impacto del fenómeno de ``La Niña'' 2010-2011 en la. : IDEAM;Ocha, (2010) Temporada de lluvias 2010 Fenómeno de La Niña. Informe de Situación #6. : OCHA;Bid-Cepal, (2012) Valoración de daños y pérdidas Ola invernal en Colombia 2010-2011. : BID-CEPAL-DNP;Nuñez, J; Hurtado-Caycedo, C; Páez, F; Bateman, A; Pinzón, C; Gutiérrez, C; Castillo, J (2013) Evaluación de los programas para la atención del Fenómeno de la Niña. Bogotá D.C.: Fedesarrollo;Ramírez, J C; de Aguas, J M (2016) Configuración territorial de las provincias de Colombia. Ruralidad y redes. : CEPAL;Dnp, (2018) Índice Municipal de Riesgos de Desastres Ajustado por Capacidades. : DNP;Winsemius, H; Aerts, J; van Beek, L; Bierkens, M; Bouwman, A; Jongman, B; Kwadijk, J; Ligtvoet, W; Lucas, P; van Vuuren, D; Ward, P (2016) Global drivers of future river flood risk. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 6; pp. 381–385 Hallegatte, S; Bangalorem, M; Bonzanigo, L; Fay, M; Kane, T; Narloch, U; Rozenberg, J; Treguer, D; Vogt-Schilb, A (2016) Shock Waves Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty. Washington, DC: World Bank;Hirabayashi, Y; Mahendran, R; Koirala, S; Konoshima, L; Yamazaki, D; Watanabe, S; Kim, H; Kanae, S (2013) Global flood risk under climate change. En: Nature Climate Change. Vol. 3; pp. 816–821 Bilsborrow, R (1987) Population Pressures and Agricultural Development in Developing Countries:. En: World Development. Vol. 15; No. 2; pp. 183–203 Davis, K (1963) The Theory of Change and Response in Modern Demographic History. En: Population Index. Vol. 29; No. 4; pp. 345-366 Davis, J; López-Carr, D (2010) The effects of migrant remittances on population-environment dynamics in. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 32; pp. 216-237 Bremner, J; Lopez-Carr, D; Suter, L; Davis, J (2010) Population, poverty, environment, and climate dynamics in the developing. En: Interdisciplinary Environmental Review. Vol. 11; pp. 112-126 de Sherbinin, A; Carr, D; Cassels, S; Jiang, L (2007) Population and Environment. En: Annual Review of Environment and Resources. Vol. 32; pp. 345-373 Finlay, J (2009) Fertility Response to Natural Disasters The Case of Three High Mortality. : Policy Research Working Paper 4883, World Bank;Nobles, J; Frankenberg, E; Thomas, D (2015) The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics After a Natural. En: Demography. Vol. 52; pp. 15-38 Davis, J (2017) Fertility after natural disaster: Hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 38; No. 4; pp. 448–466 Barreca, A; Deschenes, O; Guldi, M (2018) Maybe Next Month? Temperature Shocks and Dynamic Adjustments in Birth. En: Demography. Vol. 55; pp. 1269–1293 Sellers, S; Gray, C (2019) Climate shocks constrain human fertility in Indonesia. En: World Development. Vol. 117; pp. 357–369 Alam, S; Pörtner, C (2018) Income shocks, contraceptive use, and timing of fertility. En: Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 131; pp. 96-103 Hope, R (2002) Wildlife harvesting, conservation and poverty: The economics of olive. En: Environmental Conservation. Vol. 29; pp. 375-384 Mea, (2005) Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Synthesis. Washington, DC: Island Press;Ellis, Frank (1999) Rural Livelihood Diversity in Developing Countries: Evidence and Policy. En: ODI Natural Resources Perspectives. Vol. 40;Eakin, Hallie; Lemos, Maria (2010) Institutions and change: The challenge of building adaptive capacity in. En: Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions. Vol. 20; pp. 1-3 Palloni, A; Rafalimanana, H (1999) The Effects of Infant Mortality on Fertility Revisited: New Evidence from. En: Demography. Vol. 36; No. 1; pp. 41-58 Filmer, Deon; Pritchett, Lant (2002) Environmental degradation and the demand for children: Searching for the. En: Environment and Development Economics. Vol. 7; pp. 123-146 Biddlecom, Ann; Axinn, William; Barber, Jennifer (2005) Environmental Effects on Family Size Preferences and Subsequent. En: Population and Environment. Vol. 26;Cain, Mead (1983) Fertility as an Adjustment to Risk. En: Population and Development Review. Vol. 9; No. 4; pp. 688-702 Carta, G; D'Alfonso, A; Colagrande, I; Catana, P; Casacchia, M; Patacchiola, F (2012) Post-earthquake birth-rate evaluation using the brief cope. En: The Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine. Vol. 25; No. 11; pp. 2411–2414 Tong, Van; Zotti, Marianne; Hsia, Jason (2010) Impact of the Red River Catastrophic Flood on Women Giving Birth in North. 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Vol. 81; No. 1; pp. 50-61 de la Mata, D; Valencia-Amaya, M (2014) The Health Impacts of Severe Climate Shocks in Colombia. : IDB Working Paper Series No. IDB-WP-498;instname:Universidad del Rosarioreponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURDecisiones de fertilidadEmbarazoChoques climáticosInundacionesEconomía330600Fertility choicesPregnancyClimate shocksFloodsIs La Niña against the children? Impact of floods in fertility decisions in Colombia¿Está La Niña en contra de los niños? 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