Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC...
- Autores:
- Tipo de recurso:
- Fecha de publicación:
- 2017
- Institución:
- Universidad del Rosario
- Repositorio:
- Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
- Idioma:
- eng
- OAI Identifier:
- oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26402
- Acceso en línea:
- https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402
- Palabra clave:
- Biophysical impacts
Model intercomparison
Land cover change
Land?atmosphere interactions
CMIP5
Climatic effects
- Rights
- License
- Abierto (Texto Completo)
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829721600bb152a3a-5f6d-41e3-9fef-f5230b64f356-1cb4e3468-7d6b-4bd2-8b14-3ff01d8e74e9-12020-08-06T16:21:35Z2020-08-06T16:21:35Z2017-04-28Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5) on 15 climate variables (i.e., atmospheric, radiative, wind, hydrologic variables, and heat fluxes). We find that climate models are able to simulate some robust and strong climate perturbations in response to LULCC. In tropical regions with substantial LULCC, significantly higher skin temperatures, less precipitation and soil moisture, less evaporation and clouds, more incoming radiation and stronger winds, more anticyclonic conditions and subsidence, are simulated in response to future LULCC. In midlatitude and high latitude, LULCC result in autumn cooling and higher tropospheric pressures, while East Asia is drier, warmer, with higher sensible heat flux and lower evaporation. The tropical wind strengthening and weakening of the hydrological cycle are comparable in magnitude to their future regional changes induced by greenhouse gases under RCP8.5, which make LULCC an indispensable forcing to take into account in future climatic assessments. Finally, our study reveals significant indirect atmospheric processes triggered by LULCC, implying substantial changes in incoming radiation, which dominate climatic responses over the direct effects, particularly in boreal regions.application/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448ISSN: 0148-0227EISSN: 2156-2202https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402engJohn Wiley and Sons5131No. 105113Journal of Geophysical ResearchVol. 122Journal of Geophysical Research, ISSN: 0148-0227;EISSN: 2156-2202, Vol.122, No.10 (May, 2017); pp.5113-5131https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016JD025448Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Journal of Geophysical Researchinstname:Universidad del Rosarioreponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURBiophysical impactsModel intercomparisonLand cover changeLand?atmosphere interactionsCMIP5Climatic effectsAtmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate pictureEfectos atmosféricos, radiativos e hidrológicos del uso futuro de la tierra y los cambios en la cubierta terrestre: una imagen climática global y multimodeloarticleArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Quesada, Benjamín RaphaelArneth, AlmutDe Noblet?Ducoudré, Nathalie10336/26402oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/264022021-06-03 00:50:57.399https://repository.urosario.edu.coRepositorio institucional EdocURedocur@urosario.edu.co |
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.spa.fl_str_mv |
Efectos atmosféricos, radiativos e hidrológicos del uso futuro de la tierra y los cambios en la cubierta terrestre: una imagen climática global y multimodelo |
title |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
spellingShingle |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture Biophysical impacts Model intercomparison Land cover change Land?atmosphere interactions CMIP5 Climatic effects |
title_short |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
title_full |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
title_fullStr |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
title_full_unstemmed |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
title_sort |
Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture |
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv |
Biophysical impacts Model intercomparison Land cover change Land?atmosphere interactions CMIP5 Climatic effects |
topic |
Biophysical impacts Model intercomparison Land cover change Land?atmosphere interactions CMIP5 Climatic effects |
description |
Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5) on 15 climate variables (i.e., atmospheric, radiative, wind, hydrologic variables, and heat fluxes). We find that climate models are able to simulate some robust and strong climate perturbations in response to LULCC. In tropical regions with substantial LULCC, significantly higher skin temperatures, less precipitation and soil moisture, less evaporation and clouds, more incoming radiation and stronger winds, more anticyclonic conditions and subsidence, are simulated in response to future LULCC. In midlatitude and high latitude, LULCC result in autumn cooling and higher tropospheric pressures, while East Asia is drier, warmer, with higher sensible heat flux and lower evaporation. The tropical wind strengthening and weakening of the hydrological cycle are comparable in magnitude to their future regional changes induced by greenhouse gases under RCP8.5, which make LULCC an indispensable forcing to take into account in future climatic assessments. Finally, our study reveals significant indirect atmospheric processes triggered by LULCC, implying substantial changes in incoming radiation, which dominate climatic responses over the direct effects, particularly in boreal regions. |
publishDate |
2017 |
dc.date.created.spa.fl_str_mv |
2017-04-28 |
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-08-06T16:21:35Z |
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-08-06T16:21:35Z |
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv |
article |
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 |
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
dc.type.spa.spa.fl_str_mv |
Artículo |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
ISSN: 0148-0227 EISSN: 2156-2202 |
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv |
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448 https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402 |
identifier_str_mv |
ISSN: 0148-0227 EISSN: 2156-2202 |
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.citationEndPage.none.fl_str_mv |
5131 |
dc.relation.citationIssue.none.fl_str_mv |
No. 10 |
dc.relation.citationStartPage.none.fl_str_mv |
5113 |
dc.relation.citationTitle.none.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Geophysical Research |
dc.relation.citationVolume.none.fl_str_mv |
Vol. 122 |
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Geophysical Research, ISSN: 0148-0227;EISSN: 2156-2202, Vol.122, No.10 (May, 2017); pp.5113-5131 |
dc.relation.uri.spa.fl_str_mv |
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016JD025448 |
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv |
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.rights.acceso.spa.fl_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Abierto (Texto Completo) http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
dc.format.mimetype.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv |
John Wiley and Sons |
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Geophysical Research |
institution |
Universidad del Rosario |
dc.source.instname.none.fl_str_mv |
instname:Universidad del Rosario |
dc.source.reponame.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositorio institucional EdocUR |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
edocur@urosario.edu.co |
_version_ |
1814167559510949888 |