Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture

Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC...

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Tipo de recurso:
Fecha de publicación:
2017
Institución:
Universidad del Rosario
Repositorio:
Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
Idioma:
eng
OAI Identifier:
oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26402
Acceso en línea:
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402
Palabra clave:
Biophysical impacts
Model intercomparison
Land cover change
Land?atmosphere interactions
CMIP5
Climatic effects
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Abierto (Texto Completo)
id EDOCUR2_0da044e4e6529b16e17c84067c18bb64
oai_identifier_str oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/26402
network_acronym_str EDOCUR2
network_name_str Repositorio EdocUR - U. Rosario
repository_id_str
spelling 829721600bb152a3a-5f6d-41e3-9fef-f5230b64f356-1cb4e3468-7d6b-4bd2-8b14-3ff01d8e74e9-12020-08-06T16:21:35Z2020-08-06T16:21:35Z2017-04-28Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5) on 15 climate variables (i.e., atmospheric, radiative, wind, hydrologic variables, and heat fluxes). We find that climate models are able to simulate some robust and strong climate perturbations in response to LULCC. In tropical regions with substantial LULCC, significantly higher skin temperatures, less precipitation and soil moisture, less evaporation and clouds, more incoming radiation and stronger winds, more anticyclonic conditions and subsidence, are simulated in response to future LULCC. In midlatitude and high latitude, LULCC result in autumn cooling and higher tropospheric pressures, while East Asia is drier, warmer, with higher sensible heat flux and lower evaporation. The tropical wind strengthening and weakening of the hydrological cycle are comparable in magnitude to their future regional changes induced by greenhouse gases under RCP8.5, which make LULCC an indispensable forcing to take into account in future climatic assessments. Finally, our study reveals significant indirect atmospheric processes triggered by LULCC, implying substantial changes in incoming radiation, which dominate climatic responses over the direct effects, particularly in boreal regions.application/pdfhttps://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448ISSN: 0148-0227EISSN: 2156-2202https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402engJohn Wiley and Sons5131No. 105113Journal of Geophysical ResearchVol. 122Journal of Geophysical Research, ISSN: 0148-0227;EISSN: 2156-2202, Vol.122, No.10 (May, 2017); pp.5113-5131https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016JD025448Abierto (Texto Completo)http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2Journal of Geophysical Researchinstname:Universidad del Rosarioreponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocURBiophysical impactsModel intercomparisonLand cover changeLand?atmosphere interactionsCMIP5Climatic effectsAtmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate pictureEfectos atmosféricos, radiativos e hidrológicos del uso futuro de la tierra y los cambios en la cubierta terrestre: una imagen climática global y multimodeloarticleArtículohttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501Quesada, Benjamín RaphaelArneth, AlmutDe Noblet?Ducoudré, Nathalie10336/26402oai:repository.urosario.edu.co:10336/264022021-06-03 00:50:57.399https://repository.urosario.edu.coRepositorio institucional EdocURedocur@urosario.edu.co
dc.title.spa.fl_str_mv Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
dc.title.TranslatedTitle.spa.fl_str_mv Efectos atmosféricos, radiativos e hidrológicos del uso futuro de la tierra y los cambios en la cubierta terrestre: una imagen climática global y multimodelo
title Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
spellingShingle Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
Biophysical impacts
Model intercomparison
Land cover change
Land?atmosphere interactions
CMIP5
Climatic effects
title_short Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
title_full Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
title_fullStr Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
title_full_unstemmed Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
title_sort Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture
dc.subject.keyword.spa.fl_str_mv Biophysical impacts
Model intercomparison
Land cover change
Land?atmosphere interactions
CMIP5
Climatic effects
topic Biophysical impacts
Model intercomparison
Land cover change
Land?atmosphere interactions
CMIP5
Climatic effects
description Land use and land cover changes (LULCC) modulate land surface energy, heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes. Using simulations performed with and without LULCC for five earth system models, averaged over the 2071–2100 period, we quantify the biophysical effects in response to a future realistic LULCC scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5) on 15 climate variables (i.e., atmospheric, radiative, wind, hydrologic variables, and heat fluxes). We find that climate models are able to simulate some robust and strong climate perturbations in response to LULCC. In tropical regions with substantial LULCC, significantly higher skin temperatures, less precipitation and soil moisture, less evaporation and clouds, more incoming radiation and stronger winds, more anticyclonic conditions and subsidence, are simulated in response to future LULCC. In midlatitude and high latitude, LULCC result in autumn cooling and higher tropospheric pressures, while East Asia is drier, warmer, with higher sensible heat flux and lower evaporation. The tropical wind strengthening and weakening of the hydrological cycle are comparable in magnitude to their future regional changes induced by greenhouse gases under RCP8.5, which make LULCC an indispensable forcing to take into account in future climatic assessments. Finally, our study reveals significant indirect atmospheric processes triggered by LULCC, implying substantial changes in incoming radiation, which dominate climatic responses over the direct effects, particularly in boreal regions.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.created.spa.fl_str_mv 2017-04-28
dc.date.accessioned.none.fl_str_mv 2020-08-06T16:21:35Z
dc.date.available.none.fl_str_mv 2020-08-06T16:21:35Z
dc.type.eng.fl_str_mv article
dc.type.coarversion.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
dc.type.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
dc.type.spa.spa.fl_str_mv Artículo
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv ISSN: 0148-0227
EISSN: 2156-2202
dc.identifier.uri.none.fl_str_mv https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402
url https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025448
https://repository.urosario.edu.co/handle/10336/26402
identifier_str_mv ISSN: 0148-0227
EISSN: 2156-2202
dc.language.iso.spa.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.citationEndPage.none.fl_str_mv 5131
dc.relation.citationIssue.none.fl_str_mv No. 10
dc.relation.citationStartPage.none.fl_str_mv 5113
dc.relation.citationTitle.none.fl_str_mv Journal of Geophysical Research
dc.relation.citationVolume.none.fl_str_mv Vol. 122
dc.relation.ispartof.spa.fl_str_mv Journal of Geophysical Research, ISSN: 0148-0227;EISSN: 2156-2202, Vol.122, No.10 (May, 2017); pp.5113-5131
dc.relation.uri.spa.fl_str_mv https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016JD025448
dc.rights.coar.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.rights.acceso.spa.fl_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
rights_invalid_str_mv Abierto (Texto Completo)
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.format.mimetype.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.spa.fl_str_mv John Wiley and Sons
dc.source.spa.fl_str_mv Journal of Geophysical Research
institution Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.instname.none.fl_str_mv instname:Universidad del Rosario
dc.source.reponame.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositorio Institucional EdocUR
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositorio institucional EdocUR
repository.mail.fl_str_mv edocur@urosario.edu.co
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