A test of the market efficiency of the Integrated Latin American Market (MILA) index in relation to changes in the price of oil

The purpose of this paper is to study if there is a Granger causality relationship between the price of oil and the prices of the stocks that compose the Integrated Latin American Market (MILA) Index. Our analysis found that from the perspective of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), there is no empirical evidence that there is a Granger causality relationship between the price of oil and other commodities and the stocks that compose the MILA Index. Therefore, it is possible to conclude that based on the evidence, it is not possible to create an arbitrage strategy based on the price of oil and copper to achieve abnormal returns in the MILA Stock Market. In order to test for the Granger causality between the underlying variables, we used a leveraged bootstrap test developed by Hatemi-J (2012).

• Autores: Hernández Gamarra, Katerin; Sarmiento Sabogal, Julio Alejandro; Cayón Fallon, Edgardo
• Tipo de recurso: Article of investigation
• Fecha de publicación: 2015
• Institución: Colegio de Estudios Superiores de Administración
• Repositorio: Repositorio CESA
• Idioma: eng
• OAI Identifier: oai:repository.cesa.edu.co:10726/5123
• Acceso en línea: http://hdl.handle.net/10726/5123; https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/1149
• Palabra clave: Market efficiency; Asymmetric Granger causality; Asset-pricing models; MILA Index; Oil prices
• Rights: openAccess
• License: Abierto (Texto Completo)